NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 103 – 116
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Timberwolves: 41-26 (61.2%) | Market Rating: +4.69

Thunder: 52-15 (77.6%) | Market Rating: +8.05 | Home Court: +2.3 pts

Line: -8.5

Total: 228.0

Open: -9

Open: 226

Team totals: Timberwolves 109.5 · Thunder 118.5

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Injury Report as of Mar 15, 11:45 PM ET MINNo key injuries OKC2 Out

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Anthony Edwards	34.7	Available	Right Knee;Soreness Updated Mar 13

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Branden Carlson	11.6	Out	Low Back;Strain Updated Mar 7 or earlier
Jalen Williams	27.4	Out	Right Hamstring; Strain Updated Mar 7 or earlier
Isaiah Hartenstein	24.0	Available	Updated Mar 15

Not in rotation / low minutes: Thomas Sorber

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’24 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

4th game in 6 nights

Travel fatigue (at least 4th straight game on the road)

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

Double digit, in-season revenge

In-season revenge

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Timberwolves Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/18/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	vs.	Jazz	-	-12.5	231.5	-	-
03/17/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	vs.	Suns	-	-3.5	221.0	-	-
03/15/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	@	Thunder	-	+8.5	228.0	-	-
03/13/26	Timberwolves	127	@	Warriors	117	-4.5	224.5	-10	O 244 +19.5
2025	ORtg: 131.5 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 96.6			ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 131.5 Pace: 96.6
03/11/26	Timberwolves	128	@	Clippers	153	+1.5	226.5	+25	O 281 +54.5
2025	ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 153.0 Pace: 100.0			ORtg: 153.0 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 100.0
03/10/26	Timberwolves	106	@	Lakers	120	-2.5	229.5	+14	U 226 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 112.8 DRtg: 127.7 Pace: 94.0			ORtg: 127.7 DRtg: 112.8 Pace: 94.0
03/07/26	Timberwolves	92	vs.	Magic	119	-6.5	224.5	+27	U 211 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 99.4			ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 99.4
03/05/26	Timberwolves	115	vs.	Raptors	107	-5.5	226.5	-8	U 222 -4.5
2025	ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 94.4			ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 94.4
03/03/26	Timberwolves	117	vs.	Grizzlies	110	-14.5	235.5	-7	U 227 -8.5
2025	ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 100.5			ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 100.5
03/01/26	Timberwolves	117	@	Nuggets	108	+2.5	240.5	-9	U 225 -15.5
2025	ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 97.8			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 97.8
02/26/26	Timberwolves	94	@	Clippers	88	-8.5	220.5	-6	U 182 -38.5
2025	ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 95.3			ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 95.3
02/24/26	Timberwolves	124	@	Trail Blazers	121	-6.5	234.5	-3	O 245 +10.5
2025	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 123.2 Pace: 98.2			ORtg: 123.2 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 98.2
02/22/26	Timberwolves	108	vs.	76ers	135	-9.5	239.5	+27	O 243 +3.5
2025	ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 133.5 Pace: 101.2			ORtg: 133.5 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 101.2

Away Games Avg (6 games)		116.0	-	-	117.8	-3.0	229.3	+1.8 -4.8	O 233.8 +4.5
	ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 121.3 Pace: 97.0			ORtg: 121.3 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 97.0

All Games Avg (10 games)		112.8	-	-	117.8	-5.4	230.2	+5.0 -10.4	O 230.6 +0.4
	ORtg: 115.4 DRtg: 120.4 Pace: 97.7			ORtg: 120.4 DRtg: 115.4 Pace: 97.7

Thunder Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/18/26 2025	Thunder	-	@	Nets	-	-19.5	216.5	-	-
03/17/26 2025	Thunder	-	@	Magic	-	-9.5	224.0	-	-
03/15/26 2025	Thunder	-	vs.	Timberwolves	-	-8.5	228.0	-	-
03/12/26	Thunder	104	vs.	Celtics	102	-8.5	216.5	-2	U 206 -10.5
2025	ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 90.5			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 90.5
03/09/26	Thunder	129	vs.	Nuggets	126	-3.5	237.5	-3	O 255 +17.5
2025	ORtg: 129.4 DRtg: 126.4 Pace: 99.7			ORtg: 126.4 DRtg: 129.4 Pace: 99.7
03/07/26	Thunder	104	vs.	Warriors	97	-11.5	219.5	-7	U 201 -18.5
2025	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 91.2			ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 91.2
03/04/26	Thunder	103	@	Knicks	100	-4.5	221.5	-3	U 203 -18.5
2025	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 104.9 Pace: 95.3			ORtg: 104.9 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 95.3
03/03/26	Thunder	116	@	Bulls	108	-9.5	231.5	-8	U 224 -7.5
2025	ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 105.0			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 105.0
03/01/26	Thunder	100	@	Mavericks	87	-16.5	236.5	-13	U 187 -49.5
2025	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 88.8 Pace: 97.9			ORtg: 88.8 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 97.9
02/27/26	Thunder	127	vs.	Nuggets	121 OT	-6.5	234.5	-6	O 248 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 103.8			ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 103.8
02/25/26	Thunder	116	@	Pistons	124	+10.5	220.5	+8	O 240 +19.5
2025	ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 99.7			ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 99.7
02/24/26	Thunder	116	@	Raptors	107	+1.5	216.5	-9	O 223 +6.5
2025	ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 100.1			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 100.1
02/22/26	Thunder	121	vs.	Cavaliers	113	+4.5	228.5	-8	O 234 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 99.1			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 99.1

Home Games Avg (5 games)		117.0	-	-	111.8	-5.1	227.3	-5.2 +0.1	O 228.8 +1.5
	ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 96.9			ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 96.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		113.6	-	-	108.5	-4.4	226.3	-5.1 +0.7	U 222.1 -4.2
	ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 98.2			ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 98.2

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Thunder are 22.2% (2-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Timberwolves are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread away

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Thunder (Home)

The Thunder are 47.1% (32-36) against the spread

The Thunder are 44.4% (16-20) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 45.3% (29-35) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 42.9% (15-20) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 51.5% (35-33) to the over

The Thunder are 52.8% (19-17) to the under at home

The Thunder are 51.6% (33-31) to the under as a fav

The Thunder are 54.3% (19-16) to the under as a home fav

The Thunder are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Thunder are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 22.2% (2-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Thunder are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Thunder are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Thunder are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Timberwolves (Away)

The Timberwolves are 41.2% (28-40) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 41.2% (14-20) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 50% (7-7) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 50% (5-5) against the spread as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 54.4% (37-31) to the under

The Timberwolves are 61.8% (21-13) to the over away

The Timberwolves are 57.1% (8-6) to the over as a dog

The Timberwolves are 60% (6-4) to the over as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Timberwolves are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under away

The Timberwolves are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Timberwolves are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/29/26	Thunder	111	@	Timberwolves	123	-5.5	227.5	+12	O 234 +6.5
2025	ORtg: 114.5 DRtg: 126.8 Pace: 97.0			ORtg: 126.8 DRtg: 114.5 Pace: 97.0
12/19/25	Thunder	107	@	Timberwolves	112	-5.5	232.5	+5	U 219 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 100.4			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 100.4
11/26/25	Thunder	113	vs.	Timberwolves	105	-10.5	226.5	-8	U 218 -8.5
2025	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 95.9			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 95.9
05/28/25	Thunder	124	vs.	Timberwolves	94	-9.0	222.0	-30	U 218 -4.0
2024	ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 102.5			ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 102.5
05/26/25	Thunder	128	@	Timberwolves	126	-3.0	219.0	-2	O 254 +35.0
2024	ORtg: 136.8 DRtg: 134.7 Pace: 93.6			ORtg: 134.7 DRtg: 136.8 Pace: 93.6
05/24/25	Thunder	101	@	Timberwolves	143	-3.0	216.5	+42	O 244 +27.5
2024	ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 142.2 Pace: 100.6			ORtg: 142.2 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 100.6
05/22/25	Thunder	118	vs.	Timberwolves	103	-8.5	217.5	-15	O 221 +3.5
2024	ORtg: 124.3 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 94.9			ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 124.3 Pace: 94.9
05/20/25	Thunder	114	vs.	Timberwolves	88	-7.0	218.5	-26	U 202 -16.5
2024	ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 94.3			ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 94.3
02/24/25	Thunder	128	vs.	Timberwolves	131 OT	-11.5	228.5	+3	O 259 +30.5
2024	ORtg: 114.5 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 101.2			ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 114.5 Pace: 101.2
02/23/25	Thunder	130	@	Timberwolves	123	-9.0	228.0	-7	O 253 +25.0
2024	ORtg: 133.7 DRtg: 126.5 Pace: 97.2			ORtg: 126.5 DRtg: 133.7 Pace: 97.2

Thunder as Home (5 games)		119.4	-	-	104.2	-9.3	222.6	-15.2 +5.9	O 223.6 +1.0
	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 97.8			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 97.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		117.4	-	-	114.8	-7.3	223.7	-2.6 -4.7	O 232.2 +8.6
	ORtg: 119.1 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 97.8			ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 119.1 Pace: 97.8

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 103 – 116 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "Minnesota Timberwolves", home_team: "Oklahoma City Thunder", game_date: null };

Odds Full NBA odds board

Injury Report as of Mar 15, 11:45 PM ET MINNo key injuries OKC2 Out

Notes

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

Filters

Schedules

Timberwolves Schedule Follow global filters

Thunder Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Thunder (Home)

Timberwolves (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 103 – 116
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder