NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 105 – 115
Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat

Rockets: 37-21 (63.8%) | Market Rating: +3.67

Heat: 31-29 (51.7%) | Market Rating: +1.07 | Home Court: +1.5 pts

Line: +2.5

Total: 226.5

Open: +4

Open: 225

Team totals: Rockets 113.5 · Heat 112.5

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Notes

Rockets

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

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Heat

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Rockets Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26 2025	Rockets	-	vs.	Warriors	-	-8.5	213.5	-	-
03/02/26 2025	Rockets	-	@	Wizards	-	-14.5	224.5	-	-
02/28/26 2025	Rockets	-	@	Heat	-	-2.5	226.5	-	-
02/26/26	Rockets	113	@	Magic	108	-2.5	214.5	-5	O 221 +6.5
2025	ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 90.9			ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 90.9
02/25/26	Rockets	128	vs.	Kings	97	-13.5	222.5	-31	O 225 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 135.9 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 94.2			ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 135.9 Pace: 94.2
02/23/26	Rockets	125	vs.	Jazz	105	-13.5	228.0	-20	O 230 +2.0
2025	ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 105.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 105.0
02/21/26	Rockets	106	@	Knicks	108	+3.5	220.5	+2	U 214 -6.5
2025	ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 117.4 Pace: 92.0			ORtg: 117.4 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 92.0
02/19/26	Rockets	105	@	Hornets	101	-4.5	218.5	-4	U 206 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 92.7			ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 92.7
02/11/26	Rockets	102	vs.	Clippers	105	-8.5	212.5	+3	U 207 -5.5
2025	ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 91.3			ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 91.3
02/10/26	Rockets	102	vs.	Clippers	95	-9.5	213.5	-7	U 197 -16.5
2025	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 89.9			ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 89.9
02/07/26	Rockets	112	@	Thunder	106	+3.5	213.5	-6	O 218 +4.5
2025	ORtg: 117.4 DRtg: 111.1 Pace: 95.4			ORtg: 111.1 DRtg: 117.4 Pace: 95.4
02/05/26	Rockets	99	vs.	Hornets	109	-4.5	218.5	+10	U 208 -10.5
2025	ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 95.6			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 95.6
02/04/26	Rockets	93	vs.	Celtics	114	-8.5	210.5	+21	U 207 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 130.7 Pace: 87.2			ORtg: 130.7 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 87.2

Away Games Avg (4 games)		109.0	-	-	105.8	0.0	216.8	-3.3 +3.3	U 214.8 -2.0
	ORtg: 117.6 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 92.7			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 117.6 Pace: 92.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		108.5	-	-	104.8	-5.8	217.3	-3.7 -2.1	U 213.3 -4.0
	ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 93.4			ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 93.4

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26 2025	Heat	-	vs.	Nets	-	-12.5	226.5	-	-
03/03/26 2025	Heat	-	vs.	Nets	-	-12.5	226.5	-	-
02/28/26 2025	Heat	-	vs.	Rockets	-	+2.5	226.5	-	-
02/26/26	Heat	117	@	76ers	124	+2.5	240.5	+7	O 241 +0.5
2025	ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 101.8
02/24/26	Heat	117	@	Bucks	128	-6.5	229.5	+11	O 245 +15.5
2025	ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 104.0			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 104.0
02/21/26	Heat	136	vs.	Grizzlies	120	-11.5	238.5	-16	O 256 +17.5
2025	ORtg: 127.3 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 106.9			ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 127.3 Pace: 106.9
02/20/26	Heat	128	@	Hawks	97	-3.5	244.5	-31	U 225 -19.5
2025	ORtg: 126.6 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 101.1			ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 126.6 Pace: 101.1
02/11/26	Heat	123	@	Pelicans	111	+1.5	233.5	-12	O 234 +0.5
2025	ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 102.9			ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 102.9
02/09/26	Heat	111	vs.	Jazz	115	-5.5	234.5	+4	U 226 -8.5
2025	ORtg: 111.0 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 100.0			ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 111.0 Pace: 100.0
02/08/26	Heat	132	@	Wizards	101	-13.5	235.5	-31	U 233 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 126.1 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 104.6			ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 126.1 Pace: 104.6
02/06/26	Heat	96	@	Celtics	98	+5.5	227.5	+2	U 194 -33.5
2025	ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 92.0			ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 92.0
02/03/26	Heat	115	vs.	Hawks	127	-1.5	235.5	+12	O 242 +6.5
2025	ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 105.0			ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 105.0
02/01/26	Heat	134	vs.	Bulls	91	-5.5	233.5	-43	U 225 -8.5
2025	ORtg: 130.9 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 102.4			ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 130.9 Pace: 102.4

Home Games Avg (4 games)		124.0	-	-	113.3	-6.0	235.5	-10.8 +4.8	O 237.3 +1.8
	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 103.5			ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 103.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		120.9	-	-	111.2	-3.8	235.3	-9.7 +5.9	U 232.1 -3.2
	ORtg: 118.3 DRtg: 108.9 Pace: 102.1			ORtg: 108.9 DRtg: 118.3 Pace: 102.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Heat are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Heat are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

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Heat (Home)

The Heat are 58.3% (35-25-1) against the spread

The Heat are 55.2% (16-13) against the spread at home

The Heat are 62.1% (18-11-1) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Heat are 50.8% (31-30) to the over

The Heat are 51.7% (15-14) to the over at home

The Heat are 56.7% (17-13) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 62.5% (5-3) to the over as a home dog

The Heat are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Heat are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Heat are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the under

The Heat are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Heat are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Rockets (Away)

The Rockets are 45.8% (27-32) against the spread

The Rockets are 53.1% (17-15) against the spread away

The Rockets are 41.5% (22-31) against the spread as a fav

The Rockets are 44.4% (12-15) against the spread as an away fav

The Rockets are 57.6% (34-25) to the under

The Rockets are 50% (16-16) to the over away

The Rockets are 56.6% (30-23) to the under as a fav

The Rockets are 51.9% (14-13) to the over as an away fav

The Rockets are 42.9% (6-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Rockets are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Rockets are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Rockets are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Rockets are 64.3% (9-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Rockets are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under away

The Rockets are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Rockets are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/21/25	Heat	98	vs.	Rockets	102	+4.5	212.0	+4	U 200 -12.0
2024	ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 92.2			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 92.2
12/29/24	Heat	104	@	Rockets	100	+8.5	215.0	-4	U 204 -11.0
2024	ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 107.4 Pace: 93.1			ORtg: 107.4 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 93.1

Heat as Home (1 games)		98.0	-	-	102.0	+4.5	212.0	+4.0 +0.5	U 200.0 -12.0
	ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 92.2			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 92.2

All Games Avg (2 games)		101.0	-	-	101.0	+6.5	213.5	0.0 +6.5	U 202.0 -11.5
	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 92.7			ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 92.7