NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 114 – 108
Miami Heat @ Sacramento Kings

Heat: 3-6 (33.3%) | Market Rating: +1.18

Kings: 1-8 (11.1%) | Market Rating: -7.61 | Home Court: +0.6 pts

Line: +11.5

Total: 235.5

Open: +9

Open: 239

Team totals: Heat 124.5 · Kings 111.5 (open 123.5 / 114.5)

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Injury Report as of Nov 8, 11:45 PM ET MIAClean SAC2 Out

Miami Heat

No injuries listed.

Sacramento Kings

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Domantas Sabonis	35.5	Out	Left Knee Soreness Est. return Nov 10 (Updated Nov 8)
Maxime Raynaud	26.5 ’25	Out	Right Patella Subluxation Est. return Nov 10 (Updated Oct 21)
Jonathan Mogbo	14.3	Available	Updated Nov 8
Keegan Murray	25.6	Available	Updated Nov 8

Not in rotation / low minutes: Ben Simmons

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Est. return an estimated return date, not the team's. A day-to-day player gets his team's next game.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Travel fatigue (at least 4th straight game on the road)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Kings

Nothing active

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/13/26 2026	Heat	-	vs.	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
11/10/26 2026	Heat	-	@	Jazz	-	-8.5	228.5	-	-
11/08/26 2026	Heat	-	@	Kings	-	-11.5	235.5	-	-
11/05/26	Heat	100	@	Warriors	120	+3.5	236.5	+20	U 220 -16.5
2026	ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 101.9			ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 101.9
11/04/26	Heat	117	@	Clippers	116 OT	-6.0	233.5	-1	U 233 -0.5
2026	ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 98.6			ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 98.6
11/02/26	Heat	117	@	Lakers	138	+2.0	237.5	+21	O 255 +17.5
2026	ORtg: 114.5 DRtg: 135.1 Pace: 102.2			ORtg: 135.1 DRtg: 114.5 Pace: 102.2
10/30/26	Heat	145	vs.	Pacers	125	-8.5	237.0	-20	O 270 +33.0
2026	ORtg: 143.9 DRtg: 124.0 Pace: 100.8			ORtg: 124.0 DRtg: 143.9 Pace: 100.8
10/28/26	Heat	129	@	Hawks	117	+2.5	243.0	-12	O 246 +3.0
2026	ORtg: 121.4 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 106.3			ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 121.4 Pace: 106.3
10/26/26	Heat	109	vs.	Mavericks	113	-7.5	240.5	+4	U 222 -18.5
2026	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 102.2			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 102.2
10/24/26	Heat	110	@	Hornets	115	-4.5	228.0	+5	U 225 -3.0
2026	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 99.9			ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 99.9
10/23/26	Heat	111	vs.	Pistons	128	+2.0	235.0	+17	O 239 +4.0
2026	ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 104.0			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 104.0
10/21/26	Heat	106	vs.	Timberwolves	131	-1.5	240.5	+25	U 237 -3.5
2026	ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 125.8 Pace: 104.1			ORtg: 125.8 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 104.1
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
04/14/26	Heat	126	@	Hornets	127 OT	+6.0	228.5	+1	O 253 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 91.7			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 91.7

Away Games Avg (5 games this season)		114.6	-	-	121.2	-0.5	235.7	+6.6 -7.1	O 235.8 +0.1
	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 116.9 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 116.9 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 101.8

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		116.0	-	-	122.6	-2.0	236.8	+6.6 -8.6	O 238.6 +1.7
	ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 102.2			ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 102.2

Kings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/13/26 2026	Kings	-	vs.	Trail Blazers	-	-	-	-	-
11/10/26 2026	Kings	-	vs.	Magic	-	+6.0	223.0	-	-
11/08/26 2026	Kings	-	vs.	Heat	-	+11.5	235.5	-	-
11/06/26	Kings	109	vs.	Spurs	124	+17.5	231.5	+15	O 233 +1.5
2026	ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 133.4 Pace: 93.0			ORtg: 133.4 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 93.0
11/04/26	Kings	103	vs.	Lakers	116	+12.0	234.0	+13	U 219 -15.0
2026	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 121.7 Pace: 95.3			ORtg: 121.7 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 95.3
11/02/26	Kings	115	@	Mavericks	100	+7.5	232.5	-15	U 215 -17.5
2026	ORtg: 121.5 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 94.7			ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 121.5 Pace: 94.7
10/31/26	Kings	105	@	Grizzlies	136	+7.5	228.5	+31	O 241 +12.5
2026	ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 131.1 Pace: 103.7			ORtg: 131.1 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 103.7
10/29/26	Kings	120	@	Pelicans	132	+6.5	235.0	+12	O 252 +17.0
2026	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 113.0			ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 113.0
10/27/26	Kings	103	@	Spurs	130	+19.0	232.5	+27	O 233 +0.5
2026	ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 133.0 Pace: 97.7			ORtg: 133.0 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 97.7
10/25/26	Kings	112	vs.	Grizzlies	123	+4.0	235.0	+11	P 235 0.0
2026	ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 98.0			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 98.0
10/23/26	Kings	120	vs.	Trail Blazers	128	+10.0	232.0	+8	O 248 +16.0
2026	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 124.2 Pace: 103.0			ORtg: 124.2 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 103.0
10/21/26	Kings	96	@	Clippers	121	+5.0	226.5	+25	U 217 -9.5
2026	ORtg: 95.1 DRtg: 119.9 Pace: 101.0			ORtg: 119.9 DRtg: 95.1 Pace: 101.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
04/12/26	Kings	110	@	Trail Blazers	122	+19.0	226.5	+12	O 232 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 126.1 Pace: 96.8			ORtg: 126.1 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 96.8

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		111.0	-	-	122.8	+10.9	233.1	+11.8 -0.9	O 233.8 +0.6
	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 126.2 Pace: 97.3			ORtg: 126.2 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 97.3

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		109.2	-	-	123.3	+9.9	231.9	+14.1 -4.2	O 232.6 +0.6
	ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 99.9			ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 99.9

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Heat are 20% (2-8) against the spread

The Heat are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread away

The Heat are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 83.3% (5-1) to the under as a fav

The Heat are 20% (2-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Heat are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

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Kings (Home)

The Kings are 40% (4-6) against the spread

The Kings are 60% (3-2) against the spread at home

The Kings are 40% (4-6) against the spread as a dog

The Kings are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Kings are 55.6% (5-4-1) to the over

The Kings are 50% (2-2-1) to the over at home

The Kings are 55.6% (5-4-1) to the over as a dog

The Kings are 50% (2-2-1) to the over as a home dog

The Kings are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Kings are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Kings are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Kings are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Kings are 55.6% (5-4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Kings are 50% (2-2-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Kings are 55.6% (5-4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Kings are 50% (2-2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Heat (Away)