NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 116 – 124
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Cavaliers: 4-3 (57.1%) | Market Rating: +3.88

Thunder: 5-2 (71.4%) | Market Rating: +6.54 | Home Court: +3.7 pts

Line: -3.5

Total: 226.5

Open: -2.5

Open: 228.5

Team totals: Cavaliers 111.5 · Thunder 114.5 (open 113.5 / 114.5)

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Injury Report as of Nov 4, 11:45 PM ET CLE3 Out OKC4 Out

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Jaylon Tyson	20.7	Out	Right Ankle Sprain Est. return Nov 6 (Updated Oct 31)
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	14.4 ’25	Out	Low Back Stress Reaction Updated Oct 22
Peyton Watson	27.7	Out	Right Hamstring Tightness / Soreness Est. return Nov 6 (Updated Nov 2)

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Cason Wallace	16.3	Out	Left Shoulder Surgery Est. return Mar 2 (Updated Oct 26)
Chet Holmgren	29.9	Out	Right Knee Injury Recovery Est. return Jan 2 (Updated Oct 26)
Jalen Williams	31.6	Out	Left Ankle Surgery Est. return Mar 2 (Updated Oct 26)
Jaylin Williams	18.5	Out	Low Back Spasms Est. return Nov 6 (Updated Nov 4)

Not in rotation / low minutes: Nikola Topic, Thomas Sorber

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Est. return an estimated return date, not the team's. A day-to-day player gets his team's next game.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

In-season revenge

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

1st game home off long road trip (at least 3 games)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/07/26 2026	Cavaliers	-	vs.	Knicks	-	+4.5	223.0	-	-
11/06/26 2026	Cavaliers	-	vs.	76ers	-	+2.5	232.0	-	-
11/04/26 2026	Cavaliers	-	@	Thunder	-	+3.5	226.5	-	-
11/02/26	Cavaliers	112	vs.	Thunder	117	-4.5	229.5	+5	U 229 -0.5
2026	ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 96.0			ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 96.0
10/31/26	Cavaliers	136	@	Bucks	111	-8.5	235.5	-25	O 247 +11.5
2026	ORtg: 132.4 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 102.7			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 132.4 Pace: 102.7
10/29/26	Cavaliers	111	@	Hawks	114	+1.5	238.0	+3	U 225 -13.0
2026	ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 117.5 Pace: 97.0			ORtg: 117.5 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 97.0
10/28/26	Cavaliers	121	vs.	Wizards	111	-9.5	240.5	-10	U 232 -8.5
2026	ORtg: 130.0 DRtg: 119.3 Pace: 93.1			ORtg: 119.3 DRtg: 130.0 Pace: 93.1
10/26/26	Cavaliers	127	vs.	Timberwolves	125 OT	-3.5	234.0	-2	O 252 +18.0
2026	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 98.7			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 98.7
10/24/26	Cavaliers	125	vs.	Nets	121	-11.0	228.5	-4	O 246 +17.5
2026	ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 106.7			ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 106.7
10/22/26	Cavaliers	106	@	76ers	114	+2.5	236.5	+8	U 220 -16.5
2026	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 108.5			ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 108.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
05/25/26	Cavaliers	93	vs.	Knicks	130	+2.5	218.5	+37	O 223 +4.5
2025	ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 131.5 Pace: 98.9			ORtg: 131.5 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 98.9
05/23/26	Cavaliers	108	vs.	Knicks	121	-3.5	216.5	+13	O 229 +12.5
2025	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 126.7 Pace: 95.5			ORtg: 126.7 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 95.5
05/21/26	Cavaliers	93	@	Knicks	109	+5.5	215.5	+16	U 202 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 123.3 Pace: 88.4			ORtg: 123.3 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 88.4

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		117.7	-	-	113.0	-1.5	236.7	-4.7 +3.2	U 230.7 -6.0
	ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 102.8			ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 102.8

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		119.7	-	-	116.1	-4.7	234.6	-3.6 -1.1	O 235.9 +1.2
	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 100.4			ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 100.4

Thunder Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/07/26 2026	Thunder	-	vs.	Wizards	-	-12.5	224.5	-	-
11/06/26 2026	Thunder	-	@	Grizzlies	-	-4.0	224.5	-	-
11/04/26 2026	Thunder	-	vs.	Cavaliers	-	-3.5	226.5	-	-
11/02/26	Thunder	117	@	Cavaliers	112	+4.5	229.5	-5	U 229 -0.5
2026	ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 96.0			ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 96.0
10/31/26	Thunder	98	@	Rockets	119	+2.5	219.5	+21	U 217 -2.5
2026	ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 128.3 Pace: 92.8			ORtg: 128.3 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 92.8
10/28/26	Thunder	96	@	Mavericks	120	-5.0	228.5	+24	U 216 -12.5
2026	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 126.9 Pace: 94.6			ORtg: 126.9 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 94.6
10/26/26	Thunder	125	vs.	Suns	114	-8.5	221.5	-11	O 239 +17.5
2026	ORtg: 127.5 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 98.0			ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 127.5 Pace: 98.0
10/25/26	Thunder	108	vs.	Clippers	101	-16.5	223.0	-7	U 209 -14.0
2026	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 100.8			ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 100.8
10/22/26	Thunder	96	vs.	Nuggets	84	-8.0	236.5	-12	U 180 -56.5
2026	ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 92.0			ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 92.0
10/20/26	Thunder	116	@	Spurs	104	-1.0	230.0	-12	U 220 -10.0
2026	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 102.3			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 102.3
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
05/30/26	Thunder	103	vs.	Spurs	111	-3.5	211.5	+8	O 214 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 90.2			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 90.2
05/28/26	Thunder	91	@	Spurs	118	+3.5	218.5	+27	U 209 -9.5
2025	ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 122.3 Pace: 96.5			ORtg: 122.3 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 96.5
05/26/26	Thunder	127	vs.	Spurs	114	-3.5	216.5	-13	O 241 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 99.9			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 99.9

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		109.7	-	-	99.7	-11.0	227.0	-10.0 -1.0	U 209.3 -17.7
	ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 96.9			ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 96.9

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		108.0	-	-	107.7	-4.6	226.9	-0.3 -4.3	U 215.7 -11.2
	ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 96.6			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 96.6

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Thunder are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 75% (6-2) to the under

The Thunder are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Cavaliers are 25% (2-6) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 25% (1-3) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

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Thunder (Home)

The Thunder are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread

The Thunder are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 75% (6-2) to the under

The Thunder are 50% (2-2) to the over at home

The Thunder are 66.7% (4-2) to the under as a fav

The Thunder are 50% (2-2) to the over as a home fav

The Thunder are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Thunder are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Thunder are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Thunder are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Thunder are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Cavaliers (Away)

The Cavaliers are 25% (2-6) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 25% (1-3) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 0% (0-3) against the spread as a dog

The Cavaliers are 0% (0-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Cavaliers are 50% (4-4) to the over

The Cavaliers are 50% (2-2) to the over away

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a dog

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as an away dog

The Cavaliers are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Cavaliers are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Cavaliers are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Cavaliers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/02/26	Thunder	117	@	Cavaliers	112	+4.5	229.5	-5	U 229 -0.5
2026	ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 96.0			ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 96.0
02/22/26	Thunder	121	vs.	Cavaliers	113	+4.5	228.5	-8	O 234 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 99.1			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 99.1
01/19/26	Thunder	136	@	Cavaliers	104	-6.5	229.5	-32	O 240 +10.5
2025	ORtg: 132.0 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 103.0			ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 132.0 Pace: 103.0

Thunder as Home (1 games)		121.0	-	-	113.0	+4.5	228.5	-8.0 +12.5	O 234.0 +5.5
	ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 99.1			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 99.1

All Games Avg (3 games)		124.7	-	-	109.7	+0.8	229.2	-15.0 +15.8	O 234.3 +5.2
	ORtg: 125.3 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 99.4			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 125.3 Pace: 99.4

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 116 – 124 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "Cleveland Cavaliers", home_team: "Oklahoma City Thunder", game_date: null };

Odds Full NBA odds board

Injury Report as of Nov 4, 11:45 PM ET CLE3 Out OKC4 Out

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

ChrisBeCappinn System

Filters

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule Follow global filters

Thunder Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Thunder (Home)

Cavaliers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 116 – 124
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder