NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 96 – 120
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks

Thunder: 4-0 (100.0%) | Market Rating: +8.04

Mavericks: 2-2 (50.0%) | Market Rating: -4.54 | Home Court: +0.8 pts

Line: +5.0

Total: 228.5

Open: +6

Open: 230.5

Team totals: Thunder 116.5 · Mavericks 111.5 (open 117.5 / 111.5)

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Injury Report as of Oct 28, 11:45 PM ET OKC4 Out DAL3 Out

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Alex Caruso	18.4	Out	Right Ankle Sprain Updated Oct 28
Cason Wallace	16.3	Out	Left Shoulder Labral Tear Updated Oct 26
Chet Holmgren	29.9	Out	Right Knee Patellar Tendinitis Updated Oct 26
Jalen Williams	31.6	Out	Left Ankle Fracture Updated Oct 26
Ajay Mitchell	27.3	Available	Right Ankle Sprain Updated Oct 28

Not in rotation / low minutes: Nikola Topic, Thomas Sorber

Dallas Mavericks

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Dereck Lively II	16.5 ’25	Out	Right Foot Surgery Updated Oct 21
Naji Marshall	24.8	Out	Illness Updated Oct 25
Santi Aldama	15.6	Out	Right Knee Surgery Updated Oct 21
Caleb Martin	18.4	Available	Right Thumb Sprain Updated Oct 28
Kyrie Irving	30.5	Available	Left Knee Injury Management Updated Oct 28

Not in rotation / low minutes: Sergio deLarrea, Tarik Biberovic

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

4th game in 6 nights

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

ChrisBeCappinn System

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Thunder Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/02/26 2026	Thunder	-	@	Cavaliers	-	+4.5	229.5	-	-
10/31/26 2026	Thunder	-	@	Rockets	-	+2.5	219.5	-	-
10/28/26 2026	Thunder	-	@	Mavericks	-	-5.0	228.5	-	-
10/26/26	Thunder	125	vs.	Suns	114	-8.5	221.5	-11	O 239 +17.5
2026	ORtg: 127.5 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 98.0			ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 127.5 Pace: 98.0
10/25/26	Thunder	108	vs.	Clippers	101	-16.5	223.0	-7	U 209 -14.0
2026	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 100.8			ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 100.8
10/22/26	Thunder	96	vs.	Nuggets	84	-8.0	236.5	-12	U 180 -56.5
2026	ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 92.0			ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 92.0
10/20/26	Thunder	116	@	Spurs	104	-1.0	230.0	-12	U 220 -10.0
2026	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 102.3			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 102.3
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
05/30/26	Thunder	103	vs.	Spurs	111	-3.5	211.5	+8	O 214 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 90.2			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 90.2
05/28/26	Thunder	91	@	Spurs	118	+3.5	218.5	+27	U 209 -9.5
2025	ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 122.3 Pace: 96.5			ORtg: 122.3 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 96.5
05/26/26	Thunder	127	vs.	Spurs	114	-3.5	216.5	-13	O 241 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 99.9			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 99.9
05/24/26	Thunder	82	@	Spurs	103	+2.5	219.5	+21	U 185 -34.5
2025	ORtg: 82.5 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 99.4			ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 82.5 Pace: 99.4
05/22/26	Thunder	123	@	Spurs	108	+3.5	219.5	-15	O 231 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 127.4 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 96.6			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 127.4 Pace: 96.6
05/20/26	Thunder	122	vs.	Spurs	113	-7.5	213.5	-9	O 235 +21.5
2025	ORtg: 130.7 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 93.3			ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 130.7 Pace: 93.3

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		116.0	-	-	104.0	-1.0	230.0	-12.0 +11.0	U 220.0 -10.0
	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 102.3			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 102.3

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		111.3	-	-	100.8	-8.5	227.8	-10.5 +2.0	U 212.0 -15.8
	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 102.4 Pace: 98.3			ORtg: 102.4 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 98.3

Mavericks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/02/26 2026	Mavericks	-	vs.	Kings	-	-7.5	232.5	-	-
10/30/26 2026	Mavericks	-	vs.	Rockets	-	+5.5	223.5	-	-
10/28/26 2026	Mavericks	-	vs.	Thunder	-	+5.0	228.5	-	-
10/26/26	Mavericks	113	@	Heat	109	+7.5	240.5	-4	U 222 -18.5
2026	ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 102.2			ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 102.2
10/24/26	Mavericks	106	vs.	Spurs	122	+15.0	229.5	+16	U 228 -1.5
2026	ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 121.4 Pace: 100.5			ORtg: 121.4 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 100.5
10/23/26	Mavericks	121	@	Pacers	105	+7.5	241.5	-16	U 226 -15.5
2026	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 101.1			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 101.1
10/21/26	Mavericks	110	@	Rockets	128	+10.0	230.0	+18	O 238 +8.0
2026	ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 130.8 Pace: 97.9			ORtg: 130.8 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 97.9
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
04/12/26	Mavericks	149	vs.	Bulls	128	-5.5	249.5	-21	O 277 +27.5
2025	ORtg: 133.5 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 111.6			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 133.5 Pace: 111.6
04/10/26	Mavericks	120	@	Spurs	139	+18.5	236.5	+19	O 259 +22.5
2025	ORtg: 125.0 DRtg: 144.8 Pace: 96.0			ORtg: 144.8 DRtg: 125.0 Pace: 96.0
04/08/26	Mavericks	107	@	Suns	112	+12.5	234.5	+5	U 219 -15.5
2025	ORtg: 114.5 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 93.5			ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 114.5 Pace: 93.5
04/07/26	Mavericks	103	@	Clippers	116	+11.5	235.5	+13	U 219 -16.5
2025	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 102.9			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 102.9
04/05/26	Mavericks	134	vs.	Lakers	128	+1.5	234.5	-6	O 262 +27.5
2025	ORtg: 130.6 DRtg: 124.8 Pace: 102.6			ORtg: 124.8 DRtg: 130.6 Pace: 102.6
04/03/26	Mavericks	127	vs.	Magic	138	+6.5	239.5	+11	O 265 +25.5
2025	ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 128.4 Pace: 107.5			ORtg: 128.4 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 107.5

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		106.0	-	-	122.0	+15.0	229.5	+16.0 -1.0	U 228.0 -1.5
	ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 121.4 Pace: 100.5			ORtg: 121.4 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 100.5

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		112.5	-	-	116.0	+10.0	235.4	+3.5 +6.5	U 228.5 -6.9
	ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 100.4			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 100.4

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mavericks are 80% (4-1) to the under

The Mavericks are 80% (4-1) to the under as a dog

The Mavericks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Mavericks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Thunder are 80% (4-1) to the under

The Thunder are 80% (4-1) to the under as a fav

The Thunder are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Thunder are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

View All Records

Mavericks (Home)

The Mavericks are 60% (3-2) against the spread

The Mavericks are 50% (1-1) against the spread at home

The Mavericks are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Mavericks are 80% (4-1) to the under

The Mavericks are 100% (2-0) to the under at home

The Mavericks are 80% (4-1) to the under as a dog

The Mavericks are 100% (2-0) to the under as a home dog

The Mavericks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mavericks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mavericks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Mavericks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Mavericks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Mavericks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Mavericks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Thunder (Away)

The Thunder are 60% (3-2) against the spread

The Thunder are 50% (1-1) against the spread away

The Thunder are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Thunder are 80% (4-1) to the under

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) to the under away

The Thunder are 80% (4-1) to the under as a fav

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) to the under as an away fav

The Thunder are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Thunder are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Thunder are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Thunder are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Thunder are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	Mavericks	87	vs.	Thunder	100	+16.5	236.5	+13	U 187 -49.5
2025	ORtg: 88.8 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 97.9			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 88.8 Pace: 97.9
12/05/25	Mavericks	111	@	Thunder	132	+15.5	229.0	+21	O 243 +14.0
2025	ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 140.3 Pace: 94.1			ORtg: 140.3 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 94.1
10/27/25	Mavericks	94	vs.	Thunder	101	+9.0	225.0	+7	U 195 -30.0
2025	ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 96.7			ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 96.7

Mavericks as Home (2 games)		90.5	-	-	100.5	+12.8	230.8	+10.0 +2.8	U 191.0 -39.8
	ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 103.3 Pace: 97.3			ORtg: 103.3 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 97.3

All Games Avg (3 games)		97.3	-	-	111.0	+13.7	230.2	+13.7 0.0	U 208.3 -21.8
	ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 96.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 96.2

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 96 – 120 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "Oklahoma City Thunder", home_team: "Dallas Mavericks", game_date: null };

Odds Full NBA odds board

Injury Report as of Oct 28, 11:45 PM ET OKC4 Out DAL3 Out

Notes

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

ChrisBeCappinn System

Filters

Schedules

Thunder Schedule Follow global filters

Mavericks Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Mavericks (Home)

Thunder (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 96 – 120
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks