NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 129 – 117
Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks

Heat: 0-4 (0.0%) | Market Rating: +0.91

Hawks: 2-2 (50.0%) | Market Rating: +1.00 | Home Court: +2.2 pts

Line: -2.5

Total: 243.0

Open: -3.5

Open: 239.5

Team totals: Heat 120.5 · Hawks 122.5 (open 119.5 / 121.5)

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Injury Report as of Oct 28, 11:45 PM ET MIA1 Out ATL1 Out

Miami Heat

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Simone Fontecchio	3.1	Out	Illness Updated Oct 28
Pelle Larsson	29.4	Available	Right Ankle Sprain Updated Oct 24

Atlanta Hawks

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Mouhamed Gueye	14.8 ’25	Out	Left Foot Fracture Updated Oct 21
Aaron Wiggins	25.8	Available	Left Knee Contusion Updated Oct 28
Jock Landale	15.1	Available	Nasal Fracture Updated Oct 25
Zuby Ejiofor	11.1	Available	Updated Oct 28

Not in rotation / low minutes: Henri Veesaar

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

4th game in 6 nights

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

1st game of a back-to-back

4th game in 6 nights

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/02/26 2026	Heat	-	@	Lakers	-	+2.0	237.5	-	-
10/30/26 2026	Heat	-	vs.	Pacers	-	-8.5	237.0	-	-
10/28/26 2026	Heat	-	@	Hawks	-	+2.5	243.0	-	-
10/26/26	Heat	109	vs.	Mavericks	113	-7.5	240.5	+4	U 222 -18.5
2026	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 102.2			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 102.2
10/24/26	Heat	110	@	Hornets	115	-4.5	228.0	+5	U 225 -3.0
2026	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 99.9			ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 99.9
10/23/26	Heat	111	vs.	Pistons	128	+2.0	235.0	+17	O 239 +4.0
2026	ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 104.0			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 104.0
10/21/26	Heat	106	vs.	Timberwolves	131	-1.5	240.5	+25	U 237 -3.5
2026	ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 125.8 Pace: 104.1			ORtg: 125.8 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 104.1
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
04/14/26	Heat	126	@	Hornets	127 OT	+6.0	228.5	+1	O 253 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 91.7			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 91.7
04/12/26	Heat	143	vs.	Hawks	117	-10.5	240.5	-26	O 260 +19.5
2025	ORtg: 140.7 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 101.6			ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 140.7 Pace: 101.6
04/10/26	Heat	140	@	Wizards	117	-16.0	244.0	-23	O 257 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 138.3 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 101.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 138.3 Pace: 101.2
04/09/26	Heat	114	@	Raptors	128	+4.5	236.5	+14	O 242 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 122.6 DRtg: 137.7 Pace: 93.0			ORtg: 137.7 DRtg: 122.6 Pace: 93.0
04/07/26	Heat	95	@	Raptors	121	+2.5	240.5	+26	U 216 -24.5
2025	ORtg: 93.8 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 101.2			ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 93.8 Pace: 101.2
04/04/26	Heat	152	vs.	Wizards	136	-18.5	246.0	-16	O 288 +42.0
2025	ORtg: 140.9 DRtg: 126.1 Pace: 107.9			ORtg: 126.1 DRtg: 140.9 Pace: 107.9

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		110.0	-	-	115.0	-4.5	228.0	+5.0 -9.5	U 225.0 -3.0
	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 99.9			ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 99.9

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		109.0	-	-	121.8	-2.9	236.0	+12.8 -15.6	U 230.8 -5.3
	ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 102.6			ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 102.6

Hawks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/31/26 2026	Hawks	-	@	Pelicans	-	-5.0	239.5	-	-
10/29/26 2026	Hawks	-	vs.	Cavaliers	-	-1.5	238.0	-	-
10/28/26 2026	Hawks	-	vs.	Heat	-	-2.5	243.0	-	-
10/26/26	Hawks	110	@	Rockets	120	+4.5	229.5	+10	O 230 +0.5
2026	ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 102.6			ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 102.6
10/24/26	Hawks	114	vs.	Rockets	121	-0.5	227.5	+7	O 235 +7.5
2026	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 125.9 Pace: 96.1			ORtg: 125.9 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 96.1
10/23/26	Hawks	128	@	Hornets	81	-2.5	226.5	-47	U 209 -17.5
2026	ORtg: 130.1 DRtg: 82.3 Pace: 98.4			ORtg: 82.3 DRtg: 130.1 Pace: 98.4
10/21/26	Hawks	132	@	Magic	125	+2.0	234.0	-7	O 257 +23.0
2026	ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 114.6 Pace: 109.1			ORtg: 114.6 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 109.1
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
04/30/26	Hawks	89	vs.	Knicks	140	+3.0	214.5	+51	O 229 +14.5
2025	ORtg: 91.2 DRtg: 143.5 Pace: 97.5			ORtg: 143.5 DRtg: 91.2 Pace: 97.5
04/28/26	Hawks	97	@	Knicks	126	+9.5	217.5	+29	O 223 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 133.9 Pace: 94.1			ORtg: 133.9 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 94.1
04/25/26	Hawks	98	vs.	Knicks	114	+2.5	215.5	+16	U 212 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 94.2			ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 94.2
04/23/26	Hawks	109	vs.	Knicks	108	+1.0	214.5	-1	O 217 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 109.9 Pace: 98.3			ORtg: 109.9 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 98.3
04/20/26	Hawks	107	@	Knicks	106	+6.0	217.5	-1	U 213 -4.5
2025	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 95.0			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 95.0
04/18/26	Hawks	102	@	Knicks	113	+6.0	217.5	+11	U 215 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 96.8			ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 96.8

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		114.0	-	-	121.0	-0.5	227.5	+7.0 -7.5	O 235.0 +7.5
	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 125.9 Pace: 96.1			ORtg: 125.9 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 96.1

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		121.0	-	-	111.8	+0.9	229.4	-9.3 +10.1	O 232.8 +3.4
	ORtg: 119.2 DRtg: 109.9 Pace: 101.6			ORtg: 109.9 DRtg: 119.2 Pace: 101.6

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Hawks are 80% (4-1) to the over

The Hawks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Heat are 20% (1-4) against the spread

The Heat are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

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Hawks (Home)

The Hawks are 40% (2-3) against the spread

The Hawks are 0% (0-2) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a fav

The Hawks are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Hawks are 80% (4-1) to the over

The Hawks are 100% (2-0) to the over at home

The Hawks are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as a fav

The Hawks are 100% (2-0) to the over as a home fav

The Hawks are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Hawks are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Hawks are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Hawks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Hawks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Hawks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Hawks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Heat (Away)

The Heat are 20% (1-4) against the spread

The Heat are 50% (1-1) against the spread away

The Heat are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 100% (1-0) against the spread as an away dog

The Heat are 60% (3-2) to the under

The Heat are 50% (1-1) to the over away

The Heat are 100% (2-0) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 100% (1-0) to the over as an away dog

The Heat are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Heat are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Heat are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Heat are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Heat are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/12/26	Hawks	117	@	Heat	143	+10.5	240.5	+26	O 260 +19.5
2025	ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 140.7 Pace: 101.6			ORtg: 140.7 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 101.6
02/20/26	Hawks	97	vs.	Heat	128	+3.5	244.5	+31	U 225 -19.5
2025	ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 126.6 Pace: 101.1			ORtg: 126.6 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 101.1
02/03/26	Hawks	127	@	Heat	115	+1.5	235.5	-12	O 242 +6.5
2025	ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 105.0			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 105.0
12/26/25	Hawks	111	vs.	Heat	126	-2.5	250.5	+15	U 237 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 103.3 DRtg: 117.3 Pace: 107.4			ORtg: 117.3 DRtg: 103.3 Pace: 107.4

Hawks as Home (2 games)		104.0	-	-	127.0	+0.5	247.5	+23.0 -22.5	U 231.0 -16.5
	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 122.0 Pace: 104.3			ORtg: 122.0 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 104.3

All Games Avg (4 games)		113.0	-	-	128.0	+3.3	242.8	+15.0 -11.8	U 241.0 -1.8
	ORtg: 108.9 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 103.8			ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 108.9 Pace: 103.8

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 129 – 117 Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "Miami Heat", home_team: "Atlanta Hawks", game_date: null };

Odds Full NBA odds board

Injury Report as of Oct 28, 11:45 PM ET MIA1 Out ATL1 Out

Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

Filters

Schedules

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Hawks Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Hawks (Home)

Heat (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 129 – 117
Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks