NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 84 – 96
Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Nuggets: 0-0 (0.0%) | Market Rating: +3.11

Thunder: 1-0 (100.0%) | Market Rating: +7.37 | Home Court: +1.3 pts

Line: -8.0

Total: 236.5

Open: -7.5

Open: 232

Team totals: Nuggets 114.5 · Thunder 122.5 (open 113.5 / 122.5)

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Injury Report as of Oct 22, 11:45 PM ET DEN2 Out OKCNo key injuries

Denver Nuggets

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Julian Strawther	14.9 ’25	Out	Left Knee Sprain Updated Oct 22
Spencer Jones	17.5	Out	Bilateral Hamstring Injury Management Updated Oct 22

Oklahoma City Thunder

Not in rotation / low minutes: Nikola Topic, Otega Oweh, Thomas Sorber

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Nuggets

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Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Nuggets Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/26/26 2026	Nuggets	-	vs.	Warriors	-	-7.0	236.0	-	-
10/24/26 2026	Nuggets	-	vs.	Pelicans	-	-11.0	239.5	-	-
10/22/26 2026	Nuggets	-	@	Thunder	-	+8.0	236.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
04/30/26	Nuggets	98	@	Timberwolves	110	-7.5	223.5	+12	U 208 -15.5
2025	ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 122.9 Pace: 89.5			ORtg: 122.9 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 89.5
04/27/26	Nuggets	125	vs.	Timberwolves	113	-11.5	226.5	-12	O 238 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 103.4			ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 103.4
04/25/26	Nuggets	96	@	Timberwolves	112	-1.5	228.5	+16	U 208 -20.5
2025	ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 121.6 Pace: 92.1			ORtg: 121.6 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 92.1
04/23/26	Nuggets	96	@	Timberwolves	113	+1.0	232.0	+17	U 209 -23.0
2025	ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 99.2			ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 99.2
04/20/26	Nuggets	114	vs.	Timberwolves	119	-7.5	232.0	+5	O 233 +1.0
2025	ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 102.8			ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 102.8
04/18/26	Nuggets	116	vs.	Timberwolves	105	-7.5	232.5	-11	U 221 -11.5
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 101.8
04/12/26	Nuggets	128	@	Spurs	118	+9.5	235.0	-10	O 246 +11.0
2025	ORtg: 129.0 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 99.2			ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 129.0 Pace: 99.2
04/10/26	Nuggets	127	vs.	Thunder	107	-2.5	223.5	-20	O 234 +10.5
2025	ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 101.0			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 101.0
04/08/26	Nuggets	136	vs.	Grizzlies	119	-23.5	247.5	-17	O 255 +7.5
2025	ORtg: 137.5 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 98.9			ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 137.5 Pace: 98.9
04/06/26	Nuggets	137	vs.	Trail Blazers	132 OT	-6.5	235.5	-5	O 269 +33.5
2025	ORtg: 134.4 DRtg: 129.5 Pace: 92.3			ORtg: 129.5 DRtg: 134.4 Pace: 92.3

Thunder Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/26/26 2026	Thunder	-	vs.	Suns	-	-8.5	221.5	-	-
10/25/26 2026	Thunder	-	vs.	Clippers	-	-16.5	223.0	-	-
10/22/26 2026	Thunder	-	vs.	Nuggets	-	-8.0	236.5	-	-
10/20/26	Thunder	116	@	Spurs	104	-1.0	230.0	-12	U 220 -10.0
2026	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 102.3			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 102.3
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
05/30/26	Thunder	103	vs.	Spurs	111	-3.5	211.5	+8	O 214 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 90.2			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 90.2
05/28/26	Thunder	91	@	Spurs	118	+3.5	218.5	+27	U 209 -9.5
2025	ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 122.3 Pace: 96.5			ORtg: 122.3 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 96.5
05/26/26	Thunder	127	vs.	Spurs	114	-3.5	216.5	-13	O 241 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 99.9			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 99.9
05/24/26	Thunder	82	@	Spurs	103	+2.5	219.5	+21	U 185 -34.5
2025	ORtg: 82.5 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 99.4			ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 82.5 Pace: 99.4
05/22/26	Thunder	123	@	Spurs	108	+3.5	219.5	-15	O 231 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 127.4 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 96.6			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 127.4 Pace: 96.6
05/20/26	Thunder	122	vs.	Spurs	113	-7.5	213.5	-9	O 235 +21.5
2025	ORtg: 130.7 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 93.3			ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 130.7 Pace: 93.3
05/18/26	Thunder	115	vs.	Spurs	122 2OT	-6.5	218.5	+7	O 237 +18.5
2025	ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 100.3			ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 100.3
05/11/26	Thunder	115	@	Lakers	110	-12.5	215.0	-5	O 225 +10.0
2025	ORtg: 120.1 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 95.8			ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 120.1 Pace: 95.8
05/09/26	Thunder	131	@	Lakers	108	-9.5	210.5	-23	O 239 +28.5
2025	ORtg: 141.9 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 92.3			ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 141.9 Pace: 92.3

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		116.0	-	-	104.0	-1.0	230.0	-12.0 +11.0	U 220.0 -10.0
	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 102.3			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 102.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Nuggets are 76.5% (13-4) against the spread as an away dog

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Thunder (Home)

The Thunder are 49.5% (49-50) against the spread

The Thunder are 49% (25-26) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 49.5% (45-46) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 48% (24-26) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 55.6% (55-44) to the over

The Thunder are 54.9% (28-23) to the over at home

The Thunder are 53.8% (49-42) to the over as a fav

The Thunder are 54% (27-23) to the over as a home fav

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Thunder are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Thunder are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Thunder are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Nuggets (Away)

The Nuggets are 51.7% (46-43) against the spread

The Nuggets are 53.3% (24-21) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 67.9% (19-9) against the spread as a dog

The Nuggets are 76.5% (13-4) against the spread as an away dog

The Nuggets are 59.6% (53-36) to the over

The Nuggets are 64.4% (29-16) to the over away

The Nuggets are 53.6% (15-13) to the over as a dog

The Nuggets are 58.8% (10-7) to the over as an away dog

The Nuggets are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nuggets are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Nuggets are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Nuggets are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Nuggets are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Nuggets are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Nuggets are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/10/26	Thunder	107	@	Nuggets	127	+2.5	223.5	+20	O 234 +10.5
2025	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 101.0			ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 101.0
03/09/26	Thunder	129	vs.	Nuggets	126	-3.5	237.5	-3	O 255 +17.5
2025	ORtg: 129.4 DRtg: 126.4 Pace: 99.7			ORtg: 126.4 DRtg: 129.4 Pace: 99.7
02/27/26	Thunder	127	vs.	Nuggets	121 OT	-6.5	234.5	-6	O 248 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 103.8			ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 103.8
02/01/26	Thunder	121	@	Nuggets	111	-7.5	225.5	-10	O 232 +6.5
2025	ORtg: 126.6 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 95.6			ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 126.6 Pace: 95.6

Thunder as Home (2 games)		128.0	-	-	123.5	-5.0	236.0	-4.5 -0.5	O 251.5 +15.5
	ORtg: 120.1 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 101.7			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 120.1 Pace: 101.7

All Games Avg (4 games)		121.0	-	-	121.3	-3.8	230.3	+0.3 -4.0	O 242.3 +12.0
	ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 118.4 Pace: 100.0			ORtg: 118.4 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 100.0