NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 131 – 106
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat

Timberwolves: 0-0 (0.0%)

Heat: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: -1.5

Total: 240.5

Open: -1.5

Open: 243.5

Team totals: Timberwolves 120.5 · Heat 121.5 (open 121.5 / 121.5)

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Injury Report as of Oct 21, 11:45 PM ET MIN1 Out MIANo key injuries

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Donte DiVincenzo	30.1 ’25	Out	Right Achilles Tendon Repair / Surgery Updated Oct 21

Miami Heat

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Dru Smith	8.3	Available	Right Calf Strain Updated Oct 21

Not in rotation / low minutes: Myron Gardner, Vladislav Goldin

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

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Heat

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Timberwolves Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/25/26 2026	Timberwolves	-	vs.	Raptors	-	-3.5	228.5	-	-
10/23/26 2026	Timberwolves	-	@	Magic	-	+1.0	234.5	-	-
10/21/26 2026	Timberwolves	-	@	Heat	-	+1.5	240.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
05/15/26	Timberwolves	109	vs.	Spurs	139	+5.5	219.5	+30	O 248 +28.5
2025	ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 134.7 Pace: 103.2			ORtg: 134.7 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 103.2
05/12/26	Timberwolves	97	@	Spurs	126	+10.5	218.5	+29	O 223 +4.5
2025	ORtg: 96.9 DRtg: 125.9 Pace: 100.1			ORtg: 125.9 DRtg: 96.9 Pace: 100.1
05/10/26	Timberwolves	114	vs.	Spurs	109	+5.5	218.5	-5	O 223 +4.5
2025	ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 98.9			ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 98.9
05/08/26	Timberwolves	108	vs.	Spurs	115	+5.5	217.5	+7	O 223 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 100.2			ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 100.2
05/06/26	Timberwolves	95	@	Spurs	133	+10.5	217.5	+38	O 228 +10.5
2025	ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 106.9			ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 106.9
05/04/26	Timberwolves	104	@	Spurs	102	+10.5	218.5	-2	U 206 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 93.9			ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 93.9
04/30/26	Timberwolves	110	vs.	Nuggets	98	+7.5	223.5	-12	U 208 -15.5
2025	ORtg: 122.9 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 89.5			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 122.9 Pace: 89.5
04/27/26	Timberwolves	113	@	Nuggets	125	+11.5	226.5	+12	O 238 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 103.4			ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 103.4
04/25/26	Timberwolves	112	vs.	Nuggets	96	+1.5	228.5	-16	U 208 -20.5
2025	ORtg: 121.6 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 92.1			ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 121.6 Pace: 92.1
04/23/26	Timberwolves	113	vs.	Nuggets	96	-1.0	232.0	-17	U 209 -23.0
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 99.2			ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 99.2

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/24/26 2026	Heat	-	@	Hornets	-	-4.5	228.0	-	-
10/23/26 2026	Heat	-	vs.	Pistons	-	+2.0	235.0	-	-
10/21/26 2026	Heat	-	vs.	Timberwolves	-	-1.5	240.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
04/14/26	Heat	126	@	Hornets	127 OT	+6.0	228.5	+1	O 253 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 91.7			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 91.7
04/12/26	Heat	143	vs.	Hawks	117	-10.5	240.5	-26	O 260 +19.5
2025	ORtg: 140.7 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 101.6			ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 140.7 Pace: 101.6
04/10/26	Heat	140	@	Wizards	117	-16.0	244.0	-23	O 257 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 138.3 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 101.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 138.3 Pace: 101.2
04/09/26	Heat	114	@	Raptors	128	+4.5	236.5	+14	O 242 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 122.6 DRtg: 137.7 Pace: 93.0			ORtg: 137.7 DRtg: 122.6 Pace: 93.0
04/07/26	Heat	95	@	Raptors	121	+2.5	240.5	+26	U 216 -24.5
2025	ORtg: 93.8 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 101.2			ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 93.8 Pace: 101.2
04/04/26	Heat	152	vs.	Wizards	136	-18.5	246.0	-16	O 288 +42.0
2025	ORtg: 140.9 DRtg: 126.1 Pace: 107.9			ORtg: 126.1 DRtg: 140.9 Pace: 107.9
04/01/26	Heat	129	vs.	Celtics	147	+4.5	230.0	+18	O 276 +46.0
2025	ORtg: 130.5 DRtg: 148.7 Pace: 98.9			ORtg: 148.7 DRtg: 130.5 Pace: 98.9
03/30/26	Heat	119	vs.	76ers	109	+2.5	242.5	-10	U 228 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 100.0			ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 100.0
03/29/26	Heat	118	@	Pacers	135	-8.5	245.5	+17	O 253 +7.5
2025	ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 130.9 Pace: 103.1			ORtg: 130.9 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 103.1
03/27/26	Heat	128	@	Cavaliers	149	+5.5	240.5	+21	O 277 +36.5
2025	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 137.1 Pace: 108.7			ORtg: 137.1 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 108.7

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Heat (Home)

The Heat are 56.6% (47-36-1) against the spread

The Heat are 54.8% (23-19) against the spread at home

The Heat are 54.8% (23-19) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 50% (15-15) against the spread as a home fav

The Heat are 57.1% (48-36) to the over

The Heat are 57.1% (24-18) to the over at home

The Heat are 52.4% (22-20) to the over as a fav

The Heat are 53.3% (16-14) to the over as a home fav

The Heat are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Heat are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Timberwolves (Away)

The Timberwolves are 46.3% (44-51) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 45.8% (22-26) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 50% (17-17) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 50% (11-11) against the spread as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 53.7% (51-44) to the under

The Timberwolves are 58.3% (28-20) to the over away

The Timberwolves are 55.9% (19-15) to the over as a dog

The Timberwolves are 59.1% (13-9) to the over as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/06/26	Heat	94	@	Timberwolves	122	+5.5	238.5	+28	U 216 -22.5
2025	ORtg: 86.9 DRtg: 112.8 Pace: 108.2			ORtg: 112.8 DRtg: 86.9 Pace: 108.2
01/03/26	Heat	115	vs.	Timberwolves	125	+2.5	235.5	+10	O 240 +4.5
2025	ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 99.0			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 99.0

Heat as Home (1 games)		115.0	-	-	125.0	+2.5	235.5	+10.0 -7.5	O 240.0 +4.5
	ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 99.0			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 99.0

All Games Avg (2 games)		104.5	-	-	123.5	+4.0	237.0	+19.0 -15.0	U 228.0 -9.0
	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 103.6			ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 103.6