NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 98 – 110
Denver Nuggets @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Nuggets: 56-31 (64.4%) | Market Rating: +5.91

Timberwolves: 52-35 (59.8%) | Market Rating: +2.73 | Home Court: +3.3 pts

Line: +7.5

Total: 223.5

Team totals: Nuggets 115.5 · Timberwolves 108.5

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Games
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Injury Report as of Apr 30, 11:45 PM ET DEN2 Out MIN4 Out

Denver Nuggets

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Aaron Gordon	28.1	Out	Left Calf;Tightness Updated Apr 27
Peyton Watson	29.6	Out	Right Hamstring; Strain Updated Apr 4

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Anthony Edwards	34.7	Out	Left Knee;Bone Bruise Updated Apr 27
Ayo Dosunmu	27.5	Out	Right Calf;Soreness Updated Apr 30
Donte DiVincenzo	30.1	Out	Right Achilles Tendon; Repair Updated Apr 27
Kyle Anderson	17.9	Out	N / a;Illness Updated Apr 30
Bones Hyland	16.0	Available	Left Knee;Soreness Updated Apr 30

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’24 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Double digit, in-season revenge

In-season revenge

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Nuggets Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/24/26 2026	Nuggets	-	vs.	Pelicans	-	-11.0	239.5	-	-
10/22/26 2026	Nuggets	-	@	Thunder	-	+8.0	236.5	-	-
04/30/26 2025	Nuggets	-	@	Timberwolves	-	-7.5	223.5	-	-
04/27/26	Nuggets	125	vs.	Timberwolves	113	-11.5	226.5	-12	O 238 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 103.4			ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 103.4
04/25/26	Nuggets	96	@	Timberwolves	112	-1.5	228.5	+16	U 208 -20.5
2025	ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 121.6 Pace: 92.1			ORtg: 121.6 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 92.1
04/23/26	Nuggets	96	@	Timberwolves	113	+1.0	232.0	+17	U 209 -23.0
2025	ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 99.2			ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 99.2
04/20/26	Nuggets	114	vs.	Timberwolves	119	-7.5	232.0	+5	O 233 +1.0
2025	ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 102.8			ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 102.8
04/18/26	Nuggets	116	vs.	Timberwolves	105	-7.5	232.5	-11	U 221 -11.5
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 101.8
04/12/26	Nuggets	128	@	Spurs	118	+9.5	235.0	-10	O 246 +11.0
2025	ORtg: 129.0 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 99.2			ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 129.0 Pace: 99.2
04/10/26	Nuggets	127	vs.	Thunder	107	-2.5	223.5	-20	O 234 +10.5
2025	ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 101.0			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 101.0
04/08/26	Nuggets	136	vs.	Grizzlies	119	-23.5	247.5	-17	O 255 +7.5
2025	ORtg: 137.5 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 98.9			ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 137.5 Pace: 98.9
04/06/26	Nuggets	137	vs.	Trail Blazers	132 OT	-6.5	235.5	-5	O 269 +33.5
2025	ORtg: 134.4 DRtg: 129.5 Pace: 92.3			ORtg: 129.5 DRtg: 134.4 Pace: 92.3
04/04/26	Nuggets	136	vs.	Spurs	134 OT	+1.5	244.5	-2	O 270 +25.5
2025	ORtg: 127.4 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 96.7			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 127.4 Pace: 96.7

Away Games Avg (3 games)		106.7	-	-	114.3	+3.0	231.8	+7.7 -4.7	U 221.0 -10.8
	ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 96.8			ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 96.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		121.1	-	-	117.2	-4.9	233.8	-3.9 -1.0	O 238.3 +4.6
	ORtg: 120.1 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 98.7			ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 120.1 Pace: 98.7

Timberwolves Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/06/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	@	Spurs	-	+10.5	217.5	-	-
05/04/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	@	Spurs	-	+10.5	218.5	-	-
04/30/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	vs.	Nuggets	-	+7.5	223.5	-	-
04/27/26	Timberwolves	113	@	Nuggets	125	+11.5	226.5	+12	O 238 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 103.4			ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 103.4
04/25/26	Timberwolves	112	vs.	Nuggets	96	+1.5	228.5	-16	U 208 -20.5
2025	ORtg: 121.6 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 92.1			ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 121.6 Pace: 92.1
04/23/26	Timberwolves	113	vs.	Nuggets	96	-1.0	232.0	-17	U 209 -23.0
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 99.2			ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 99.2
04/20/26	Timberwolves	119	@	Nuggets	114	+7.5	232.0	-5	O 233 +1.0
2025	ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 102.8			ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 102.8
04/18/26	Timberwolves	105	@	Nuggets	116	+7.5	232.5	+11	U 221 -11.5
2025	ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 101.8
04/12/26	Timberwolves	132	vs.	Pelicans	126	-3.5	239.0	-6	O 258 +19.0
2025	ORtg: 124.9 DRtg: 119.2 Pace: 105.7			ORtg: 119.2 DRtg: 124.9 Pace: 105.7
04/10/26	Timberwolves	136	@	Rockets	132	+10.0	227.5	-4	O 268 +40.5
2025	ORtg: 140.0 DRtg: 135.9 Pace: 97.1			ORtg: 135.9 DRtg: 140.0 Pace: 97.1
04/08/26	Timberwolves	120	@	Magic	132	+11.5	232.5	+12	O 252 +19.5
2025	ORtg: 120.2 DRtg: 132.3 Pace: 99.8			ORtg: 132.3 DRtg: 120.2 Pace: 99.8
04/07/26	Timberwolves	124	@	Pacers	104	-12.5	234.5	-20	U 228 -6.5
2025	ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 101.5			ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 101.5
04/05/26	Timberwolves	108	vs.	Hornets	122	+4.5	226.5	+14	O 230 +3.5
2025	ORtg: 114.6 DRtg: 129.5 Pace: 94.2			ORtg: 129.5 DRtg: 114.6 Pace: 94.2

Home Games Avg (4 games)		116.3	-	-	110.0	+0.4	231.5	-6.3 +6.6	U 226.3 -5.3
	ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 97.8			ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 97.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		118.2	-	-	116.3	+3.7	231.2	-1.9 +5.6	O 234.5 +3.4
	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 99.8			ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 99.8

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Timberwolves are 70.5% (31-13) to the under at home

The Timberwolves are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Nuggets are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under away

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Timberwolves (Home)

The Timberwolves are 46.6% (41-47) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 47.7% (21-23) against the spread at home

The Timberwolves are 51.9% (14-13) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Timberwolves are 55.7% (49-39) to the under

The Timberwolves are 70.5% (31-13) to the under at home

The Timberwolves are 51.9% (14-13) to the over as a dog

The Timberwolves are 66.7% (6-3) to the under as a home dog

The Timberwolves are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Timberwolves are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Timberwolves are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Timberwolves are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Timberwolves are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Timberwolves are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Nuggets (Away)

The Nuggets are 52.3% (46-42) against the spread

The Nuggets are 54.5% (24-20) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 44.3% (27-34) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 39.3% (11-17) against the spread as an away fav

The Nuggets are 60.2% (53-35) to the over

The Nuggets are 65.9% (29-15) to the over away

The Nuggets are 62.3% (38-23) to the over as a fav

The Nuggets are 67.9% (19-9) to the over as an away fav

The Nuggets are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nuggets are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Nuggets are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Nuggets are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Nuggets are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Nuggets are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/27/26	Timberwolves	113	@	Nuggets	125	+11.5	226.5	+12	O 238 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 103.4			ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 103.4
04/25/26	Timberwolves	112	vs.	Nuggets	96	+1.5	228.5	-16	U 208 -20.5
2025	ORtg: 121.6 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 92.1			ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 121.6 Pace: 92.1
04/23/26	Timberwolves	113	vs.	Nuggets	96	-1.0	232.0	-17	U 209 -23.0
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 99.2			ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 99.2
04/20/26	Timberwolves	119	@	Nuggets	114	+7.5	232.0	-5	O 233 +1.0
2025	ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 102.8			ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 102.8
04/18/26	Timberwolves	105	@	Nuggets	116	+7.5	232.5	+11	U 221 -11.5
2025	ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 101.8
03/01/26	Timberwolves	117	@	Nuggets	108	+2.5	240.5	-9	U 225 -15.5
2025	ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 97.8			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 97.8
12/25/25	Timberwolves	138	@	Nuggets	142 OT	-1.0	239.0	+4	O 280 +41.0
2025	ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 105.2			ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 105.2
11/15/25	Timberwolves	112	vs.	Nuggets	123	+1.0	237.0	+11	U 235 -2.0
2025	ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 100.1			ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 100.1
10/27/25	Timberwolves	114	vs.	Nuggets	127	+6.5	229.5	+13	O 241 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 126.8 Pace: 100.1			ORtg: 126.8 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 100.1
04/01/25	Timberwolves	140	@	Nuggets	139 2OT	+3.5	232.5	-1	O 279 +46.5
2024	ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 101.1			ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 101.1

Timberwolves as Home (4 games)		112.8	-	-	110.5	+2.0	231.8	-2.3 +4.3	U 223.3 -8.5
	ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 97.9			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 97.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		118.3	-	-	118.6	+4.0	233.0	+0.3 +3.7	O 236.9 +3.9
	ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 115.4 Pace: 100.4			ORtg: 115.4 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 100.4

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 98 – 110 Denver Nuggets @ Minnesota Timberwolves window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "Denver Nuggets", home_team: "Minnesota Timberwolves", game_date: null };

Odds Full NBA odds board

Injury Report as of Apr 30, 11:45 PM ET DEN2 Out MIN4 Out

Notes

Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Filters

Schedules

Nuggets Schedule Follow global filters

Timberwolves Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Timberwolves (Home)

Nuggets (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 98 – 110
Denver Nuggets @ Minnesota Timberwolves