NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 119 – 114
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets

Timberwolves: 49-34 (59.0%) | Market Rating: +2.65

Nuggets: 55-28 (66.3%) | Market Rating: +5.85 | Home Court: +4.3 pts

Line: -7.5

Total: 232.0

Team totals: Timberwolves 112.5 · Nuggets 120.5

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Injury Report as of Apr 20, 11:45 PM ET MINNo key injuries DEN1 Out

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Anthony Edwards	34.7	Available	Right Knee;Injury Maintenance Updated Apr 18

Denver Nuggets

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Peyton Watson	29.6	Out	Right Hamstring; Strain Updated Apr 4

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’24 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Double digit, in-season revenge

In-season revenge

Nuggets

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Timberwolves Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/25/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	vs.	Nuggets	-	+1.5	228.5	-	-
04/23/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	vs.	Nuggets	-	-1.0	232.0	-	-
04/20/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	@	Nuggets	-	+7.5	232.0	-	-
04/18/26	Timberwolves	105	@	Nuggets	116	+7.5	232.5	+11	U 221 -11.5
2025	ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 101.8
04/12/26	Timberwolves	132	vs.	Pelicans	126	-3.5	239.0	-6	O 258 +19.0
2025	ORtg: 124.9 DRtg: 119.2 Pace: 105.7			ORtg: 119.2 DRtg: 124.9 Pace: 105.7
04/10/26	Timberwolves	136	@	Rockets	132	+10.0	227.5	-4	O 268 +40.5
2025	ORtg: 140.0 DRtg: 135.9 Pace: 97.1			ORtg: 135.9 DRtg: 140.0 Pace: 97.1
04/08/26	Timberwolves	120	@	Magic	132	+11.5	232.5	+12	O 252 +19.5
2025	ORtg: 120.2 DRtg: 132.3 Pace: 99.8			ORtg: 132.3 DRtg: 120.2 Pace: 99.8
04/07/26	Timberwolves	124	@	Pacers	104	-12.5	234.5	-20	U 228 -6.5
2025	ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 101.5			ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 101.5
04/05/26	Timberwolves	108	vs.	Hornets	122	+4.5	226.5	+14	O 230 +3.5
2025	ORtg: 114.6 DRtg: 129.5 Pace: 94.2			ORtg: 129.5 DRtg: 114.6 Pace: 94.2
04/03/26	Timberwolves	103	@	76ers	115	+3.5	233.5	+12	U 218 -15.5
2025	ORtg: 101.1 DRtg: 112.9 Pace: 101.9			ORtg: 112.9 DRtg: 101.1 Pace: 101.9
04/02/26	Timberwolves	108	@	Pistons	113	+5.5	220.5	+5	O 221 +0.5
2025	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 102.0			ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 102.0
03/30/26	Timberwolves	124	@	Mavericks	94	-8.5	236.5	-30	U 218 -18.5
2025	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 90.7 Pace: 103.6			ORtg: 90.7 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 103.6
03/28/26	Timberwolves	87	vs.	Pistons	109	+2.5	222.0	+22	U 196 -26.0
2025	ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 96.7			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 96.7

Away Games Avg (7 games)		117.1	-	-	115.1	+2.4	231.1	-2.0 +4.4	O 232.3 +1.2
	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 101.1			ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 101.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		114.7	-	-	116.3	+2.1	230.5	+1.6 +0.5	O 231.0 +0.5
	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 100.4			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 100.4

Nuggets Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/25/26 2025	Nuggets	-	@	Timberwolves	-	-1.5	228.5	-	-
04/23/26 2025	Nuggets	-	@	Timberwolves	-	+1.0	232.0	-	-
04/20/26 2025	Nuggets	-	vs.	Timberwolves	-	-7.5	232.0	-	-
04/18/26	Nuggets	116	vs.	Timberwolves	105	-7.5	232.5	-11	U 221 -11.5
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 101.8
04/12/26	Nuggets	128	@	Spurs	118	+9.5	235.0	-10	O 246 +11.0
2025	ORtg: 129.0 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 99.2			ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 129.0 Pace: 99.2
04/10/26	Nuggets	127	vs.	Thunder	107	-2.5	223.5	-20	O 234 +10.5
2025	ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 101.0			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 101.0
04/08/26	Nuggets	136	vs.	Grizzlies	119	-23.5	247.5	-17	O 255 +7.5
2025	ORtg: 137.5 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 98.9			ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 137.5 Pace: 98.9
04/06/26	Nuggets	137	vs.	Trail Blazers	132 OT	-6.5	235.5	-5	O 269 +33.5
2025	ORtg: 134.4 DRtg: 129.5 Pace: 92.3			ORtg: 129.5 DRtg: 134.4 Pace: 92.3
04/04/26	Nuggets	136	vs.	Spurs	134 OT	+1.5	244.5	-2	O 270 +25.5
2025	ORtg: 127.4 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 96.7			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 127.4 Pace: 96.7
04/01/26	Nuggets	130	@	Jazz	117	-17.0	249.5	-13	U 247 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 125.4 DRtg: 112.9 Pace: 103.7			ORtg: 112.9 DRtg: 125.4 Pace: 103.7
03/29/26	Nuggets	116	vs.	Warriors	93	-11.5	238.5	-23	U 209 -29.5
2025	ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 92.1			ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 92.1
03/27/26	Nuggets	135	vs.	Jazz	129	-19.5	247.5	-6	O 264 +16.5
2025	ORtg: 129.3 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 104.4			ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 129.3 Pace: 104.4
03/25/26	Nuggets	142	vs.	Mavericks	135	-10.5	246.0	-7	O 277 +31.0
2025	ORtg: 136.5 DRtg: 129.8 Pace: 104.0			ORtg: 129.8 DRtg: 136.5 Pace: 104.0

Home Games Avg (8 games)		130.6	-	-	119.3	-10.0	239.4	-11.4 +1.4	O 249.9 +10.4
	ORtg: 128.8 DRtg: 117.3 Pace: 98.9			ORtg: 117.3 DRtg: 128.8 Pace: 98.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		130.3	-	-	118.9	-8.8	240.0	-11.4 +2.7	O 249.2 +9.2
	ORtg: 128.5 DRtg: 117.1 Pace: 99.4			ORtg: 117.1 DRtg: 128.5 Pace: 99.4

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Nuggets are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Nuggets are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Nuggets are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Nuggets are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

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Nuggets (Home)

The Nuggets are 53.6% (45-39) against the spread

The Nuggets are 48.8% (21-22) against the spread at home

The Nuggets are 44.8% (26-32) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 46.9% (15-17) against the spread as a home fav

The Nuggets are 61.9% (52-32) to the over

The Nuggets are 53.5% (23-20) to the over at home

The Nuggets are 63.8% (37-21) to the over as a fav

The Nuggets are 56.3% (18-14) to the over as a home fav

The Nuggets are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nuggets are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Nuggets are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Nuggets are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Nuggets are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Nuggets are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Nuggets are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Timberwolves (Away)

The Timberwolves are 45.2% (38-46) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 46.5% (20-23) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 50% (12-12) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 52.9% (9-8) against the spread as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 54.8% (46-38) to the under

The Timberwolves are 58.1% (25-18) to the over away

The Timberwolves are 54.2% (13-11) to the over as a dog

The Timberwolves are 58.8% (10-7) to the over as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the under

The Timberwolves are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the under away

The Timberwolves are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Timberwolves are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/18/26	Nuggets	116	vs.	Timberwolves	105	-7.5	232.5	-11	U 221 -11.5
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 101.8
03/01/26	Nuggets	108	vs.	Timberwolves	117	-2.5	240.5	+9	U 225 -15.5
2025	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 97.8			ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 97.8
12/25/25	Nuggets	142	vs.	Timberwolves	138 OT	+1.0	239.0	-4	O 280 +41.0
2025	ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 105.2			ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 105.2
11/15/25	Nuggets	123	@	Timberwolves	112	-1.0	237.0	-11	U 235 -2.0
2025	ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 100.1			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 100.1
10/27/25	Nuggets	127	@	Timberwolves	114	-6.5	229.5	-13	O 241 +11.5
2025	ORtg: 126.8 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 100.1			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 126.8 Pace: 100.1
04/01/25	Nuggets	139	vs.	Timberwolves	140 2OT	-3.5	232.5	+1	O 279 +46.5
2024	ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 101.1			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 101.1
03/12/25	Nuggets	95	vs.	Timberwolves	115	-1.5	232.5	+20	U 210 -22.5
2024	ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 120.6 Pace: 95.3			ORtg: 120.6 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 95.3
01/25/25	Nuggets	104	@	Timberwolves	133	-3.5	229.5	+29	O 237 +7.5
2024	ORtg: 108.0 DRtg: 138.2 Pace: 96.3			ORtg: 138.2 DRtg: 108.0 Pace: 96.3
11/01/24	Nuggets	116	@	Timberwolves	119	+4.0	218.0	+3	O 235 +17.0
2024	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 96.9			ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 96.9

Nuggets as Home (5 games)		120.0	-	-	123.0	-2.8	235.4	+3.0 -5.8	O 243.0 +7.6
	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 117.5 Pace: 100.2			ORtg: 117.5 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 100.2

All Games Avg (9 games)		118.9	-	-	121.4	-2.3	232.3	+2.6 -4.9	O 240.3 +8.0
	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 119.4 Pace: 99.4			ORtg: 119.4 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 99.4