NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 119 – 115
New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Pelicans: 13-40 (24.5%) | Market Rating: -4.38

Timberwolves: 32-20 (61.5%) | Market Rating: +4.58 | Home Court: +2.6 pts

Line: -8.5

Total: 237.5

Open: -11

Open: 236.5

Team totals: Pelicans 114.5 · Timberwolves 123.5

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Notes

Pelicans

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off an Overtime game

Travel fatigue (at least 4th straight game on the road)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

In-season revenge

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

1st game home off long road trip (at least 3 games)

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Pelicans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/11/26 2025	Pelicans	-	vs.	Heat	-	-1.5	233.5	-	-
02/09/26 2025	Pelicans	-	vs.	Kings	-	-9.5	229.5	-	-
02/06/26 2025	Pelicans	-	@	Timberwolves	-	+8.5	237.5	-	-
02/04/26	Pelicans	137	@	Bucks	141 OT	-4.5	223.5	+4	O 278 +54.5
2025	ORtg: 132.5 DRtg: 136.4 Pace: 93.6			ORtg: 136.4 DRtg: 132.5 Pace: 93.6
02/02/26	Pelicans	95	@	Hornets	102	+6.5	230.5	+7	U 197 -33.5
2025	ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 95.3			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 95.3
01/31/26	Pelicans	114	@	76ers	124	+6.5	234.5	+10	O 238 +3.5
2025	ORtg: 115.4 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 98.8			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 115.4 Pace: 98.8
01/30/26	Pelicans	114	vs.	Grizzlies	106	-3.5	231.0	-8	U 220 -11.0
2025	ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 97.7			ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 97.7
01/27/26	Pelicans	95	@	Thunder	104	+14.5	233.5	+9	U 199 -34.5
2025	ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 94.2			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 94.2
01/25/26	Pelicans	104	@	Spurs	95	+11.5	239.5	-9	U 199 -40.5
2025	ORtg: 109.3 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 95.2			ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 109.3 Pace: 95.2
01/23/26	Pelicans	133	@	Grizzlies	127	+5.0	240.0	-6	O 260 +20.0
2025	ORtg: 128.9 DRtg: 123.1 Pace: 103.2			ORtg: 123.1 DRtg: 128.9 Pace: 103.2
01/21/26	Pelicans	104	vs.	Pistons	112	+7.5	233.5	+8	U 216 -17.5
2025	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 99.9			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 99.9
01/18/26	Pelicans	110	@	Rockets	119	+13.5	232.5	+9	U 229 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 95.6			ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 95.6
01/16/26	Pelicans	119	@	Pacers	127	+4.5	241.5	+8	O 246 +4.5
2025	ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 132.9 Pace: 95.5			ORtg: 132.9 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 95.5

Away Games Avg (8 games)		113.4	-	-	117.4	+7.2	234.4	+4.0 +3.2	U 230.8 -3.7
	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 96.4			ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 96.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		112.5	-	-	115.7	+6.2	234.0	+3.2 +3.0	U 228.2 -5.8
	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 96.9			ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 96.9

Timberwolves Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/09/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	vs.	Hawks	-	-8.5	239.5	-	-
02/08/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	vs.	Clippers	-	-8.5	222.5	-	-
02/06/26 2025	Timberwolves	-	vs.	Pelicans	-	-8.5	237.5	-	-
02/04/26	Timberwolves	128	@	Raptors	126	-2.5	228.5	-2	O 254 +25.5
2025	ORtg: 125.4 DRtg: 123.4 Pace: 102.1			ORtg: 123.4 DRtg: 125.4 Pace: 102.1
02/02/26	Timberwolves	128	@	Grizzlies	137	-7.5	232.5	+9	O 265 +32.5
2025	ORtg: 132.0 DRtg: 141.2 Pace: 97.0			ORtg: 141.2 DRtg: 132.0 Pace: 97.0
01/31/26	Timberwolves	131	@	Grizzlies	114	-11.0	229.5	-17	O 245 +15.5
2025	ORtg: 130.7 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 100.3			ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 130.7 Pace: 100.3
01/29/26	Timberwolves	123	vs.	Thunder	111	+5.5	227.5	-12	O 234 +6.5
2025	ORtg: 126.8 DRtg: 114.5 Pace: 97.0			ORtg: 114.5 DRtg: 126.8 Pace: 97.0
01/28/26	Timberwolves	118	@	Mavericks	105	-8.5	229.5	-13	U 223 -6.5
2025	ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 102.7			ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 102.7
01/26/26	Timberwolves	108	vs.	Warriors	83	-8.0	226.0	-25	U 191 -35.0
2025	ORtg: 103.3 DRtg: 79.4 Pace: 104.6			ORtg: 79.4 DRtg: 103.3 Pace: 104.6
01/25/26	Timberwolves	85	vs.	Warriors	111	-5.5	237.5	+26	U 196 -41.5
2025	ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 103.5			ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 103.5
01/22/26	Timberwolves	115	vs.	Bulls	120	-9.5	239.5	+5	U 235 -4.5
2025	ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 103.3			ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 103.3
01/20/26	Timberwolves	122	@	Jazz	127	-12.5	238.5	+5	O 249 +10.5
2025	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 121.3 Pace: 104.7			ORtg: 121.3 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 104.7
01/17/26	Timberwolves	123	@	Spurs	126	+5.0	234.5	+3	O 249 +14.5
2025	ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 130.2 Pace: 96.8			ORtg: 130.2 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 96.8

Home Games Avg (4 games)		107.8	-	-	106.3	-4.4	232.6	-1.5 -2.9	U 214.0 -18.6
	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 102.1			ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 102.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		118.1	-	-	116.0	-5.5	232.4	-2.1 -3.4	O 234.1 +1.8
	ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 101.2			ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 101.2

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Notable Trends

The Timberwolves are 73.1% (19-7) to the under at home

The Timberwolves are 77.3% (17-5) to the under as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Timberwolves are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

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Timberwolves (Home)

The Timberwolves are 43.4% (23-30) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 42.3% (11-15) against the spread at home

The Timberwolves are 40.5% (17-25) against the spread as a fav

The Timberwolves are 40.9% (9-13) against the spread as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 52.8% (28-25) to the under

The Timberwolves are 73.1% (19-7) to the under at home

The Timberwolves are 57.1% (24-18) to the under as a fav

The Timberwolves are 77.3% (17-5) to the under as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 43.8% (7-9) (L30 days) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Timberwolves are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Timberwolves are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 56.3% (9-7) (L30 days) to the over

The Timberwolves are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Timberwolves are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Timberwolves are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Pelicans (Away)

The Pelicans are 50.9% (27-26-1) against the spread

The Pelicans are 48.1% (13-14) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 46.8% (22-25-1) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 48% (12-13) against the spread as an away dog

The Pelicans are 50% (27-27) to the over

The Pelicans are 55.6% (15-12) to the under away

The Pelicans are 52.1% (25-23) to the over as a dog

The Pelicans are 56% (14-11) to the under as an away dog

The Pelicans are 50% (8-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pelicans are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Pelicans are 62.5% (10-6) (L30 days) to the under

The Pelicans are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the under away

The Pelicans are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Pelicans are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/04/25	Timberwolves	125	@	Pelicans	116	-11.5	233.5	-9	O 241 +7.5
2025	ORtg: 115.5 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 108.2			ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 115.5 Pace: 108.2
12/02/25	Timberwolves	149	@	Pelicans	142 OT	-12.5	229.5	-7	O 291 +61.5
2025	ORtg: 134.0 DRtg: 127.7 Pace: 100.7			ORtg: 127.7 DRtg: 134.0 Pace: 100.7
03/21/25	Timberwolves	134	vs.	Pelicans	93	-15.5	222.0	-41	O 227 +5.0
2024	ORtg: 139.7 DRtg: 96.9 Pace: 95.9			ORtg: 96.9 DRtg: 139.7 Pace: 95.9
03/19/25	Timberwolves	115	vs.	Pelicans	119	-13.5	227.5	+4	O 234 +6.5
2024	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 97.6			ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 97.6
01/07/25	Timberwolves	104	@	Pelicans	97	-4.0	222.0	-7	U 201 -21.0
2024	ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 96.2 Pace: 100.8			ORtg: 96.2 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 100.8

Timberwolves as Home (2 games)		124.5	-	-	106.0	-14.5	224.8	-18.5 +4.0	O 230.5 +5.8
	ORtg: 128.7 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 96.8			ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 128.7 Pace: 96.8

All Games Avg (5 games)		125.4	-	-	113.4	-11.4	226.9	-12.0 +0.6	O 238.8 +11.9
	ORtg: 122.0 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 100.7			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 122.0 Pace: 100.7

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 119 – 115 New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "New Orleans Pelicans", home_team: "Minnesota Timberwolves", game_date: null };

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Injury Report NOPNo report MINNo report

Notes

Pelicans

Situational Factor(s)

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Filters

Schedules

Pelicans Schedule Follow global filters

Timberwolves Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Timberwolves (Home)

Pelicans (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 119 – 115
New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves