NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 96 – 98
Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics

Heat: 27-25 (51.9%) | Market Rating: +0.11

Celtics: 33-18 (64.7%) | Market Rating: +4.65 | Home Court: +2.8 pts

Line: -5.5

Total: 227.5

Open: -7

Open: 229.5

Team totals: Heat 111.5 · Celtics 116.5

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Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

1st game of a back-to-back

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

In-season revenge

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Celtics

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/09/26 2025	Heat	-	vs.	Jazz	-	-5.5	234.5	-	-
02/08/26 2025	Heat	-	@	Wizards	-	-13.5	235.5	-	-
02/06/26 2025	Heat	-	@	Celtics	-	+5.5	227.5	-	-
02/03/26	Heat	115	vs.	Hawks	127	-1.5	235.5	+12	O 242 +6.5
2025	ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 105.0			ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 105.0
02/01/26	Heat	134	vs.	Bulls	91	-5.5	233.5	-43	U 225 -8.5
2025	ORtg: 130.9 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 102.4			ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 130.9 Pace: 102.4
01/31/26	Heat	118	vs.	Bulls	125	-6.0	231.0	+7	O 243 +12.0
2025	ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 116.6			ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 116.6
01/29/26	Heat	116	@	Bulls	113	-2.5	237.5	-3	U 229 -8.5
2025	ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 103.3			ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 103.3
01/28/26	Heat	124	vs.	Magic	133	-3.5	232.5	+9	O 257 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 127.2 Pace: 104.5			ORtg: 127.2 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 104.5
01/25/26	Heat	111	@	Suns	102	+4.5	225.5	-9	U 213 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 96.3			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 96.3
01/24/26	Heat	147	@	Jazz	116	-6.5	245.0	-31	O 263 +18.0
2025	ORtg: 136.8 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 107.5			ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 136.8 Pace: 107.5
01/22/26	Heat	110	@	Trail Blazers	127	+3.0	235.0	+17	O 237 +2.0
2025	ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 125.4 Pace: 101.3			ORtg: 125.4 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 101.3
01/20/26	Heat	130	@	Kings	117	-4.5	238.5	-13	O 247 +8.5
2025	ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 103.4			ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 103.4
01/19/26	Heat	112	@	Warriors	135	+5.5	239.5	+23	O 247 +7.5
2025	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 105.4			ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 105.4

Away Games Avg (6 games)		121.0	-	-	118.3	-0.1	236.8	-2.7 +2.6	O 239.3 +2.5
	ORtg: 117.5 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 102.9			ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 117.5 Pace: 102.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		121.7	-	-	118.6	-1.7	235.4	-3.1 +1.4	O 240.3 +5.0
	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 104.6			ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 104.6

Celtics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/11/26 2025	Celtics	-	vs.	Bulls	-	-13.5	227.5	-	-
02/08/26 2025	Celtics	-	vs.	Knicks	-	-3.5	215.5	-	-
02/06/26 2025	Celtics	-	vs.	Heat	-	-5.5	227.5	-	-
02/04/26	Celtics	114	@	Rockets	93	+8.5	210.5	-21	U 207 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 130.7 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 87.2			ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 130.7 Pace: 87.2
02/03/26	Celtics	110	@	Mavericks	100	-7.5	223.5	-10	U 210 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 117.1 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 94.0			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 117.1 Pace: 94.0
02/01/26	Celtics	107	vs.	Bucks	79	-13.5	217.5	-28	U 186 -31.5
2025	ORtg: 126.5 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 126.5 Pace: 84.6
01/30/26	Celtics	112	vs.	Kings	93	-11.5	216.5	-19	U 205 -11.5
2025	ORtg: 126.2 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 88.7			ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 126.2 Pace: 88.7
01/28/26	Celtics	106	vs.	Hawks	117	-5.5	232.5	+11	U 223 -9.5
2025	ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 123.2 Pace: 94.9			ORtg: 123.2 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 94.9
01/26/26	Celtics	102	vs.	Trail Blazers	94	-8.5	223.0	-8	U 196 -27.0
2025	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 95.3 Pace: 98.6			ORtg: 95.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 98.6
01/24/26	Celtics	111	@	Bulls	114	-3.0	232.0	+3	U 225 -7.0
2025	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 95.8			ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 95.8
01/23/26	Celtics	130	@	Nets	126 2OT	-8.0	215.0	-4	O 256 +41.0
2025	ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 99.1			ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 99.1
01/21/26	Celtics	119	vs.	Pacers	104	-10.5	225.5	-15	U 223 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 97.5			ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 97.5
01/19/26	Celtics	103	@	Pistons	104	+2.5	223.5	+1	U 207 -16.5
2025	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 92.9			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 92.9

Home Games Avg (5 games)		109.2	-	-	97.4	-9.9	223.0	-11.8 +1.9	U 206.6 -16.4
	ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 92.9			ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 92.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		111.4	-	-	102.4	-5.7	222.0	-9.0 +3.3	U 213.8 -8.2
	ORtg: 118.3 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 93.3			ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 118.3 Pace: 93.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Celtics are 82.4% (14-3) (L30 days) to the under

The Celtics are 88.9% (8-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Celtics are 78.6% (11-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Celtics are 87.5% (7-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

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Celtics (Home)

The Celtics are 55.8% (29-23) against the spread

The Celtics are 48% (12-13) against the spread at home

The Celtics are 51.4% (19-18) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 45% (9-11) against the spread as a home fav

The Celtics are 63.5% (33-19) to the under

The Celtics are 64% (16-9) to the under at home

The Celtics are 64.9% (24-13) to the under as a fav

The Celtics are 65% (13-7) to the under as a home fav

The Celtics are 47.1% (8-9) (L30 days) against the spread

The Celtics are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Celtics are 42.9% (6-8) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Celtics are 82.4% (14-3) (L30 days) to the under

The Celtics are 88.9% (8-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Celtics are 78.6% (11-3) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Celtics are 87.5% (7-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Heat (Away)

The Heat are 57.7% (30-22-1) against the spread

The Heat are 61.5% (16-10-1) against the spread away

The Heat are 61.5% (16-10-1) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 57.9% (11-8-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Heat are 50.9% (27-26) to the over

The Heat are 51.9% (14-13) to the under away

The Heat are 55.6% (15-12) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 50% (10-10) to the over as an away dog

The Heat are 56.3% (9-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Heat are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Heat are 62.5% (10-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Heat are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over away

The Heat are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/15/26	Celtics	119	@	Heat	114	-3.0	234.5	-5	U 233 -1.5
2025	ORtg: 127.2 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 93.6			ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 127.2 Pace: 93.6
12/19/25	Celtics	129	vs.	Heat	116	-7.5	233.0	-13	O 245 +12.0
2025	ORtg: 126.7 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 126.7 Pace: 101.8
04/02/25	Celtics	103	vs.	Heat	124	-10.0	211.0	+21	O 227 +16.0
2024	ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 148.0 Pace: 83.8			ORtg: 148.0 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 83.8
03/14/25	Celtics	103	@	Heat	91	-8.0	211.5	-12	U 194 -17.5
2024	ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 90.9			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 90.9
02/10/25	Celtics	103	@	Heat	85	-8.5	211.0	-18	U 188 -23.0
2024	ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 89.5			ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 89.5
12/02/24	Celtics	108	vs.	Heat	89	-9.5	221.0	-19	U 197 -24.0
2024	ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 92.8			ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 92.8

Celtics as Home (3 games)		113.3	-	-	109.7	-9.0	221.7	-3.7 -5.3	O 223.0 +1.3
	ORtg: 122.0 DRtg: 119.3 Pace: 92.8			ORtg: 119.3 DRtg: 122.0 Pace: 92.8

All Games Avg (6 games)		110.8	-	-	103.2	-7.8	220.3	-7.7 -0.1	U 214.0 -6.3
	ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 92.1			ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 92.1

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 96 – 98 Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "Miami Heat", home_team: "Boston Celtics", game_date: null };

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Injury Report MIANo report BOSNo report

Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Celtics

Situational Factor(s)

Filters

Schedules

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Celtics Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Celtics (Home)

Heat (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 96 – 98
Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics