NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 106 – 125
New Orleans Pelicans @ Miami Heat

Pelicans: 8-28 (22.2%) | Market Rating: -4.66

Heat: 19-16 (54.3%) | Market Rating: +0.70 | Home Court: +1.8 pts

Line: -8.0

Total: 246.5

Open: -7

Open: 241

Team totals: Pelicans 119.5 · Heat 128.5

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Notes

Pelicans

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Pelicans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/07/26 2025	Pelicans	-	@	Hawks	-	+10.5	246.5	-	-
01/06/26 2025	Pelicans	-	vs.	Lakers	-	+5.5	245.5	-	-
01/04/26 2025	Pelicans	-	@	Heat	-	+8.0	246.5	-	-
01/02/26	Pelicans	109	vs.	Trail Blazers	122	+3.5	240.5	+13	U 231 -9.5
2025	ORtg: 118.1 DRtg: 132.1 Pace: 92.3			ORtg: 132.1 DRtg: 118.1 Pace: 92.3
12/31/25	Pelicans	118	@	Bulls	134	+1.5	248.5	+16	O 252 +3.5
2025	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 128.4 Pace: 104.3			ORtg: 128.4 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 104.3
12/29/25	Pelicans	125	vs.	Knicks	130	+8.0	247.0	+5	O 255 +8.0
2025	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 131.4 Pace: 99.0			ORtg: 131.4 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 99.0
12/27/25	Pelicans	114	vs.	Suns	123	+4.5	241.5	+9	U 237 -4.5
2025	ORtg: 117.1 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 97.4			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 117.1 Pace: 97.4
12/26/25	Pelicans	108	vs.	Suns	115	+5.5	241.5	+7	U 223 -18.5
2025	ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 101.3			ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 101.3
12/23/25	Pelicans	118	@	Cavaliers	141	+9.5	248.5	+23	O 259 +10.5
2025	ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 133.7 Pace: 105.5			ORtg: 133.7 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 105.5
12/22/25	Pelicans	119	vs.	Mavericks	113	+1.5	241.5	-6	U 232 -9.5
2025	ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 106.5			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 106.5
12/20/25	Pelicans	128	vs.	Pacers	109	-2.5	236.0	-19	O 237 +1.0
2025	ORtg: 121.2 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 105.6			ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 121.2 Pace: 105.6
12/18/25	Pelicans	133	vs.	Rockets	128 OT	+9.5	236.5	-5	O 261 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 125.0 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 96.3			ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 125.0 Pace: 96.3
12/14/25	Pelicans	114	@	Bulls	104	+4.5	248.0	-10	U 218 -30.0
2025	ORtg: 115.5 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 98.7			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 115.5 Pace: 98.7

Away Games Avg (3 games)		116.7	-	-	126.3	+5.2	248.3	+9.7 -4.5	U 243.0 -5.3
	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 122.5 Pace: 102.8			ORtg: 122.5 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 102.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		118.6	-	-	121.9	+4.6	243.0	+3.3 +1.3	U 240.5 -2.5
	ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 120.1 Pace: 100.7			ORtg: 120.1 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 100.7

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/08/26 2025	Heat	-	@	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
01/06/26 2025	Heat	-	@	Timberwolves	-	+5.5	238.5	-	-
01/04/26 2025	Heat	-	vs.	Pelicans	-	-8.0	246.5	-	-
01/03/26	Heat	115	vs.	Timberwolves	125	+2.5	235.5	+10	O 240 +4.5
2025	ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 99.0			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 99.0
01/01/26	Heat	118	@	Pistons	112	+4.5	235.5	-6	U 230 -5.5
2025	ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 106.2			ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 106.2
12/29/25	Heat	147	vs.	Nuggets	123	+1.5	243.5	-24	O 270 +26.5
2025	ORtg: 146.0 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 100.7			ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 146.0 Pace: 100.7
12/27/25	Heat	142	vs.	Pacers	116	-6.5	233.5	-26	O 258 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 132.3 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 107.3			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 132.3 Pace: 107.3
12/26/25	Heat	126	@	Hawks	111	+2.5	250.5	-15	U 237 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 117.3 DRtg: 103.3 Pace: 107.4			ORtg: 103.3 DRtg: 117.3 Pace: 107.4
12/23/25	Heat	91	vs.	Raptors	112	-5.5	228.5	+21	U 203 -25.5
2025	ORtg: 96.6 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 94.2			ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 96.6 Pace: 94.2
12/21/25	Heat	125	@	Knicks	132	+7.5	236.5	+7	O 257 +20.5
2025	ORtg: 125.3 DRtg: 132.3 Pace: 99.8			ORtg: 132.3 DRtg: 125.3 Pace: 99.8
12/19/25	Heat	116	@	Celtics	129	+7.5	233.0	+13	O 245 +12.0
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 126.7 Pace: 101.8			ORtg: 126.7 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 101.8
12/18/25	Heat	106	@	Nets	95	-8.5	228.5	-11	U 201 -27.5
2025	ORtg: 107.4 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 98.7			ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 107.4 Pace: 98.7
12/15/25	Heat	96	vs.	Raptors	106	-4.5	233.5	+10	U 202 -31.5
2025	ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 108.0 Pace: 98.1			ORtg: 108.0 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 98.1

Home Games Avg (5 games)		118.2	-	-	116.4	-2.5	234.9	-1.8 -0.7	U 234.6 -0.3
	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 99.9			ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 99.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		118.2	-	-	116.1	+0.1	235.9	-2.1 +2.2	U 234.3 -1.6
	ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 101.3			ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 101.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Heat are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Heat are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

The Pelicans are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

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Heat (Home)

The Heat are 60% (21-14-1) against the spread

The Heat are 57.9% (11-8) against the spread at home

The Heat are 52.9% (9-8) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 50% (7-7) against the spread as a home fav

The Heat are 52.8% (19-17) to the under

The Heat are 52.6% (10-9) to the under at home

The Heat are 64.7% (11-6) to the under as a fav

The Heat are 64.3% (9-5) to the under as a home fav

The Heat are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Heat are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Heat are 64.3% (9-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Heat are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Heat are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Heat are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Pelicans (Away)

The Pelicans are 52.8% (19-17-1) against the spread

The Pelicans are 46.7% (7-8) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 50% (17-17-1) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 46.7% (7-8) against the spread as an away dog

The Pelicans are 56.8% (21-16) to the over

The Pelicans are 53.3% (8-7) to the under away

The Pelicans are 57.1% (20-15) to the over as a dog

The Pelicans are 53.3% (8-7) to the under as an away dog

The Pelicans are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pelicans are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Pelicans are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) to the over

The Pelicans are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under away

The Pelicans are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Pelicans are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/11/25	Heat	153	@	Pelicans	104	-14.5	215.5	-49	O 257 +41.5
2024	ORtg: 147.4 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 103.8			ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 147.4 Pace: 103.8
01/01/25	Heat	119	vs.	Pelicans	108	-9.0	220.0	-11	O 227 +7.0
2024	ORtg: 126.7 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 93.9			ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 126.7 Pace: 93.9

Heat as Home (1 games)		119.0	-	-	108.0	-9.0	220.0	-11.0 +2.0	O 227.0 +7.0
	ORtg: 126.7 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 93.9			ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 126.7 Pace: 93.9

All Games Avg (2 games)		136.0	-	-	106.0	-11.8	217.8	-30.0 +18.3	O 242.0 +24.3
	ORtg: 137.0 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 98.9			ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 137.0 Pace: 98.9

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 106 – 125 New Orleans Pelicans @ Miami Heat window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "New Orleans Pelicans", home_team: "Miami Heat", game_date: null };

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Injury Report NOPNo report MIANo report

Notes

Pelicans

Situational Factor(s)

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Filters

Schedules

Pelicans Schedule Follow global filters

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Heat (Home)

Pelicans (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 106 – 125
New Orleans Pelicans @ Miami Heat