NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 107 – 115
New York Knicks @ Miami Heat

Knicks: 2-0 (100.0%) | Market Rating: +1.88

Heat: 1-1 (50.0%) | Market Rating: -0.05 | Home Court: +1.4 pts

Line: +3.5

Total: 230.5

Open: +2.5

Open: 229

Team totals: Knicks 117.5 · Heat 113.5

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Knicks

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Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Knicks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/31/25 2025	Knicks	-	@	Bulls	-	-4.5	233.5	-	-
10/28/25 2025	Knicks	-	@	Bucks	-	-2.0	230.0	-	-
10/26/25 2025	Knicks	-	@	Heat	-	-3.5	230.5	-	-
10/24/25	Knicks	105	vs.	Celtics	95	-3.5	231.5	-10	U 200 -31.5
2025	ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 90.1			ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 90.1
10/22/25	Knicks	119	vs.	Cavaliers	111	+1.5	229.5	-8	O 230 +0.5
2025	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 102.1			ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 102.1
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
05/31/25	Knicks	108	@	Pacers	125	+4.5	222.5	+17	O 233 +10.5
2024	ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 127.5 Pace: 98.0			ORtg: 127.5 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 98.0
05/29/25	Knicks	111	vs.	Pacers	94	-4.5	223.0	-17	U 205 -18.0
2024	ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 98.6			ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 98.6
05/27/25	Knicks	121	@	Pacers	130	+3.0	219.0	+9	O 251 +32.0
2024	ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 126.8 Pace: 102.5			ORtg: 126.8 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 102.5
05/25/25	Knicks	106	@	Pacers	100	+1.5	223.5	-6	U 206 -17.5
2024	ORtg: 112.9 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 93.9			ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 112.9 Pace: 93.9
05/23/25	Knicks	109	vs.	Pacers	114	-6.0	224.0	+5	U 223 -1.0
2024	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 124.1 Pace: 91.9			ORtg: 124.1 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 91.9
05/21/25	Knicks	135	vs.	Pacers	138 OT	-4.5	221.5	+3	O 273 +51.5
2024	ORtg: 125.9 DRtg: 128.7 Pace: 97.1			ORtg: 128.7 DRtg: 125.9 Pace: 97.1
05/16/25	Knicks	119	vs.	Celtics	81	-3.0	211.0	-38	U 200 -11.0
2024	ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 85.8 Pace: 94.4			ORtg: 85.8 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 94.4
05/14/25	Knicks	102	@	Celtics	127	+5.0	208.0	+25	O 229 +21.0
2024	ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 140.0 Pace: 90.7			ORtg: 140.0 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 90.7

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		112.0	-	-	103.0	-1.0	230.5	-9.0 +8.0	U 215.0 -15.5
	ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 96.1			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 96.1

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/30/25 2025	Heat	-	@	Spurs	-	+6.0	228.5	-	-
10/28/25 2025	Heat	-	vs.	Hornets	-	-4.5	240.5	-	-
10/26/25 2025	Heat	-	vs.	Knicks	-	+3.5	230.5	-	-
10/24/25	Heat	146	@	Grizzlies	114	+3.5	232.5	-32	O 260 +27.5
2025	ORtg: 130.7 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 111.7			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 130.7 Pace: 111.7
10/22/25	Heat	121	@	Magic	125	+8.5	216.5	+4	O 246 +29.5
2025	ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 108.5			ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 108.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
04/28/25	Heat	83	vs.	Cavaliers	138	+8.5	211.5	+55	O 221 +9.5
2024	ORtg: 84.5 DRtg: 140.5 Pace: 98.2			ORtg: 140.5 DRtg: 84.5 Pace: 98.2
04/26/25	Heat	87	vs.	Cavaliers	124	+5.5	212.0	+37	U 211 -1.0
2024	ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 139.5 Pace: 88.9			ORtg: 139.5 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 88.9
04/23/25	Heat	112	@	Cavaliers	121	+12.0	212.5	+9	O 233 +20.5
2024	ORtg: 123.4 DRtg: 133.3 Pace: 90.8			ORtg: 133.3 DRtg: 123.4 Pace: 90.8
04/20/25	Heat	100	@	Cavaliers	121	+12.5	216.0	+21	O 221 +5.0
2024	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 140.9 Pace: 85.9			ORtg: 140.9 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 85.9
04/18/25	Heat	123	@	Hawks	114 OT	-2.0	221.0	-9	O 237 +16.0
2024	ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 111.0 Pace: 93.0			ORtg: 111.0 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 93.0
04/16/25	Heat	109	@	Bulls	90	+2.0	220.0	-19	U 199 -21.0
2024	ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 97.4			ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 97.4
04/13/25	Heat	118	vs.	Wizards	119	-8.5	215.5	+1	O 237 +21.5
2024	ORtg: 117.5 DRtg: 118.5 Pace: 100.4			ORtg: 118.5 DRtg: 117.5 Pace: 100.4
04/11/25	Heat	153	@	Pelicans	104	-14.5	215.5	-49	O 257 +41.5
2024	ORtg: 147.4 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 103.8			ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 147.4 Pace: 103.8

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		133.5	-	-	119.5	+6.0	224.5	-14.0 +20.0	O 253.0 +28.5
	ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 110.1			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 110.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Heat (Home)

The Heat are 49.4% (44-45-2) against the spread

The Heat are 51.2% (22-21-1) against the spread at home

The Heat are 52.4% (22-20-1) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 56.3% (9-7) against the spread as a home dog

The Heat are 54.9% (50-41) to the over

The Heat are 59.1% (26-18) to the over at home

The Heat are 51.2% (22-21) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 50% (8-8) to the over as a home dog

The Heat are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Heat are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Heat are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Heat are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Knicks (Away)

The Knicks are 49.5% (49-50-4) against the spread

The Knicks are 48% (24-26-1) against the spread away

The Knicks are 52.1% (37-34-3) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 48.3% (14-15-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Knicks are 51% (51-49-3) to the over

The Knicks are 51% (25-24-2) to the over away

The Knicks are 50.7% (37-36-1) to the under as a fav

The Knicks are 53.3% (16-14) to the over as an away fav

The Knicks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Knicks are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Knicks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Knicks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Knicks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Knicks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Knicks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/17/25	Heat	95	@	Knicks	116	+7.0	209.5	+21	O 211 +1.5
2024	ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 95.2			ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 95.2
03/02/25	Heat	112	vs.	Knicks	116 OT	+6.5	219.0	+4	O 228 +9.0
2024	ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 118.1 Pace: 88.9			ORtg: 118.1 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 88.9
10/30/24	Heat	107	vs.	Knicks	116	+1.5	214.5	+9	O 223 +8.5
2024	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 91.8			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 91.8

Heat as Home (2 games)		109.5	-	-	116.0	+4.0	216.8	+6.5 -2.5	O 225.5 +8.8
	ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 90.4			ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 90.4

All Games Avg (3 games)		104.7	-	-	116.0	+5.0	214.3	+11.3 -6.3	O 220.7 +6.3
	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 92.0			ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 92.0