NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 124 – 103
Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics

Heat: 34-41 (45.3%) | Market Rating: +0.59

Celtics: 56-19 (74.7%) | Market Rating: +6.69 | Home Court: +1.3 pts

Line: -10.0

Total: 211.0

Team totals: Heat 100.5 · Celtics 111.5

Odds Full NBA odds board

Want to see only your books? Want to see where the sharp action is coming in? Become a member or log in.

Games
Conversions

Loading game odds...

Injury Report MIANo report BOSNo report

Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

1st game of a back-to-back

Double digit, in-season revenge

In-season revenge

Celtics

Nothing active

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

Loading filters...

Schedules

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/05/25 2024	Heat	-	vs.	Bucks	-	-1.0	209.5	-	-
04/03/25 2024	Heat	-	vs.	Grizzlies	-	+5.5	226.5	-	-
04/02/25 2024	Heat	-	@	Celtics	-	+10.0	211.0	-	-
03/31/25	Heat	120	@	Wizards	94	-9.5	215.0	-26	U 214 -1.0
2024	ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 89.4 Pace: 105.2			ORtg: 89.4 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 105.2
03/29/25	Heat	118	@	76ers	95	-8.0	215.0	-23	U 213 -2.0
2024	ORtg: 129.4 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 91.2			ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 129.4 Pace: 91.2
03/27/25	Heat	122	vs.	Hawks	112	-1.0	224.5	-10	O 234 +9.5
2024	ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 117.5 Pace: 95.3			ORtg: 117.5 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 95.3
03/25/25	Heat	112	vs.	Warriors	86	+4.5	207.5	-26	U 198 -9.5
2024	ORtg: 129.1 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 86.8			ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 129.1 Pace: 86.8
03/23/25	Heat	122	vs.	Hornets	105	-7.5	215.0	-17	O 227 +12.0
2024	ORtg: 130.0 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 93.9			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 130.0 Pace: 93.9
03/21/25	Heat	98	vs.	Rockets	102	+4.5	212.0	+4	U 200 -12.0
2024	ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 92.2			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 92.2
03/19/25	Heat	113	vs.	Pistons	116	+4.5	216.0	+3	O 229 +13.0
2024	ORtg: 117.5 DRtg: 120.6 Pace: 96.2			ORtg: 120.6 DRtg: 117.5 Pace: 96.2
03/17/25	Heat	95	@	Knicks	116	+7.0	209.5	+21	O 211 +1.5
2024	ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 95.2			ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 95.2
03/15/25	Heat	91	@	Grizzlies	125	+5.5	224.5	+34	U 216 -8.5
2024	ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 131.1 Pace: 95.4			ORtg: 131.1 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 95.4
03/14/25	Heat	91	vs.	Celtics	103	+8.0	211.5	+12	U 194 -17.5
2024	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 90.9			ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 90.9

Away Games Avg (4 games)		106.0	-	-	107.5	-1.3	216.0	+1.5 -2.8	U 213.5 -2.5
	ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 96.7			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 96.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		108.2	-	-	105.4	+0.8	215.1	-2.8 +3.6	U 213.6 -1.5
	ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 94.2			ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 94.2

Celtics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/06/25 2024	Celtics	-	vs.	Wizards	-	-19.0	227.5	-	-
04/04/25 2024	Celtics	-	vs.	Suns	-	-15.0	227.0	-	-
04/02/25 2024	Celtics	-	vs.	Heat	-	-10.0	211.0	-	-
03/31/25	Celtics	117	@	Grizzlies	103	-4.0	236.0	-14	U 220 -16.0
2024	ORtg: 114.6 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 102.1			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 114.6 Pace: 102.1
03/29/25	Celtics	121	@	Spurs	111	-12.5	231.0	-10	O 232 +1.0
2024	ORtg: 133.2 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 90.8			ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 133.2 Pace: 90.8
03/26/25	Celtics	132	@	Suns	102	-4.5	221.5	-30	O 234 +12.5
2024	ORtg: 138.9 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 95.0			ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 138.9 Pace: 95.0
03/24/25	Celtics	113	@	Kings	95	-5.0	224.5	-18	U 208 -16.5
2024	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 95.9			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 95.9
03/23/25	Celtics	129	@	Trail Blazers	116	-6.5	219.0	-13	O 245 +26.0
2024	ORtg: 141.2 DRtg: 127.0 Pace: 91.3			ORtg: 127.0 DRtg: 141.2 Pace: 91.3
03/21/25	Celtics	121	@	Jazz	99	-15.0	228.5	-22	U 220 -8.5
2024	ORtg: 128.3 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 94.3			ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 128.3 Pace: 94.3
03/18/25	Celtics	104	vs.	Nets	96	-13.5	211.0	-8	U 200 -11.0
2024	ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 93.5			ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 93.5
03/15/25	Celtics	115	@	Nets	113	-11.5	218.5	-2	O 228 +9.5
2024	ORtg: 137.4 DRtg: 135.0 Pace: 83.7			ORtg: 135.0 DRtg: 137.4 Pace: 83.7
03/14/25	Celtics	103	@	Heat	91	-8.0	211.5	-12	U 194 -17.5
2024	ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 90.9			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 90.9
03/12/25	Celtics	112	vs.	Thunder	118	-2.5	228.5	+6	O 230 +1.5
2024	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 125.1 Pace: 94.4			ORtg: 125.1 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 94.4

Home Games Avg (2 games)		108.0	-	-	107.0	-8.0	219.8	-1.0 -7.0	U 215.0 -4.8
	ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 93.9			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 93.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		116.7	-	-	104.4	-8.3	223.0	-12.3 +4.0	U 221.1 -1.9
	ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 93.2			ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 93.2

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

On / Off Court

Follows the Team Comparison Stats filters above.

Next Player Up

Records

Loading records...

Notable Trends

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

View All Records

Celtics (Home)

The Celtics are 48% (36-39-1) against the spread

The Celtics are 40.5% (15-22) against the spread at home

The Celtics are 48.6% (35-37-1) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 40.5% (15-22) against the spread as a home fav

The Celtics are 53.9% (41-35) to the under

The Celtics are 54.1% (20-17) to the over at home

The Celtics are 52.1% (38-35) to the under as a fav

The Celtics are 54.1% (20-17) to the over as a home fav

The Celtics are 60% (9-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Celtics are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Celtics are 60% (9-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Celtics are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) to the over

The Celtics are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Celtics are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Celtics are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Heat (Away)

The Heat are 48% (36-39-1) against the spread

The Heat are 42.1% (16-22-1) against the spread away

The Heat are 48.5% (16-17-1) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 42.9% (9-12-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Heat are 51.3% (39-37) to the over

The Heat are 56.4% (22-17) to the under away

The Heat are 50% (17-17) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 54.5% (12-10) to the under as an away dog

The Heat are 64.7% (11-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Heat are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Heat are 64.7% (11-6) (L30 days) to the under

The Heat are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under away

The Heat are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Heat are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/14/25	Celtics	103	@	Heat	91	-8.0	211.5	-12	U 194 -17.5
2024	ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 90.9			ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 90.9
02/10/25	Celtics	103	@	Heat	85	-8.5	211.0	-18	U 188 -23.0
2024	ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 89.5			ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 89.5
12/02/24	Celtics	108	vs.	Heat	89	-9.5	221.0	-19	U 197 -24.0
2024	ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 92.8			ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 92.8
05/01/24	Celtics	118	vs.	Heat	84	-13.0	201.5	-34	O 202 +0.5
2023	ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 94.0			ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 94.0
04/29/24	Celtics	102	@	Heat	88	-10.5	203.5	-14	U 190 -13.5
2023	ORtg: 111.0 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 91.9			ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 111.0 Pace: 91.9
04/27/24	Celtics	104	@	Heat	84	-9.5	206.5	-20	U 188 -18.5
2023	ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 83.6
04/24/24	Celtics	101	vs.	Heat	111	-13.5	206.0	+10	O 212 +6.0
2023	ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 91.8			ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 91.8
04/21/24	Celtics	114	vs.	Heat	94	-14.5	210.0	-20	U 208 -2.0
2023	ORtg: 131.7 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 86.6			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 131.7 Pace: 86.6
02/11/24	Celtics	110	@	Heat	106	-5.5	226.0	-4	U 216 -10.0
2023	ORtg: 120.4 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 91.4			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 120.4 Pace: 91.4
01/25/24	Celtics	143	@	Heat	110	-8.0	224.0	-33	O 253 +29.0
2023	ORtg: 156.1 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 91.6			ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 156.1 Pace: 91.6

Celtics as Home (4 games)		110.3	-	-	94.5	-12.6	209.6	-15.8 +3.1	U 204.8 -4.9
	ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 91.3			ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 91.3

All Games Avg (10 games)		110.6	-	-	94.2	-10.1	212.1	-16.4 +6.4	U 204.8 -7.3
	ORtg: 122.4 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 90.4			ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 122.4 Pace: 90.4