NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 105 – 103
Miami Heat @ San Antonio Spurs

Heat: 23-23 (50.0%) | Market Rating: -0.78

Spurs: 21-24 (46.7%) | Market Rating: -2.20 | Home Court: +1.3 pts

Line: +3.0

Total: 223.5

Team totals: Heat 112.5 · Spurs 109.5

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Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Spurs

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Double digit, in-season revenge

In-season revenge

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/05/25 2024	Heat	-	@	76ers	-	+2.0	220.5	-	-
02/04/25 2024	Heat	-	@	Bulls	-	-3.5	229.0	-	-
02/01/25 2024	Heat	-	@	Spurs	-	-3.0	223.5	-	-
01/29/25	Heat	106	vs.	Cavaliers	126	+8.0	227.5	+20	O 232 +4.5
2024	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 134.0 Pace: 94.1			ORtg: 134.0 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 94.1
01/27/25	Heat	125	vs.	Magic	119 2OT	0.0	206.0	-6	O 244 +38.0
2024	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 99.1			ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 99.1
01/25/25	Heat	106	@	Nets	97	-7.0	211.0	-9	U 203 -8.0
2024	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 95.7			ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 95.7
01/23/25	Heat	96	@	Bucks	125	+6.0	225.0	+29	U 221 -4.0
2024	ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 127.9 Pace: 97.7			ORtg: 127.9 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 97.7
01/21/25	Heat	107	vs.	Trail Blazers	116	-8.5	218.5	+9	O 223 +4.5
2024	ORtg: 117.4 DRtg: 127.2 Pace: 91.2			ORtg: 127.2 DRtg: 117.4 Pace: 91.2
01/19/25	Heat	128	vs.	Spurs	107	-3.0	219.0	-21	O 235 +16.0
2024	ORtg: 131.9 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 97.0			ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 131.9 Pace: 97.0
01/17/25	Heat	113	vs.	Nuggets	133	+3.5	229.0	+20	O 246 +17.0
2024	ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 136.9 Pace: 97.2			ORtg: 136.9 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 97.2
01/15/25	Heat	108	@	Lakers	117	+4.5	214.5	+9	O 225 +10.5
2024	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 123.7 Pace: 94.6			ORtg: 123.7 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 94.6
01/13/25	Heat	98	@	Clippers	109	+8.5	215.0	+11	U 207 -8.0
2024	ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 98.8			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 98.8
01/11/25	Heat	119	@	Trail Blazers	98	-4.5	219.5	-21	U 217 -2.5
2024	ORtg: 120.4 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 98.8			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 120.4 Pace: 98.8

Away Games Avg (5 games)		105.4	-	-	109.2	+1.5	217.0	+3.8 -2.3	U 214.6 -2.4
	ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 97.1			ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 97.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		110.6	-	-	114.7	+0.8	218.5	+4.1 -3.4	O 225.3 +6.8
	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 96.4			ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 96.4

Spurs Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/05/25 2024	Spurs	-	@	Hawks	-	-4.5	243.5	-	-
02/03/25 2024	Spurs	-	@	Grizzlies	-	+4.0	241.5	-	-
02/01/25 2024	Spurs	-	vs.	Heat	-	+3.0	223.5	-	-
01/31/25	Spurs	144	vs.	Bucks	118	+2.5	236.0	-26	O 262 +26.0
2024	ORtg: 143.0 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 100.7			ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 143.0 Pace: 100.7
01/29/25	Spurs	116	vs.	Clippers	128	+4.0	222.5	+12	O 244 +21.5
2024	ORtg: 119.3 DRtg: 131.6 Pace: 97.2			ORtg: 131.6 DRtg: 119.3 Pace: 97.2
01/25/25	Spurs	98	vs.	Pacers	136	+3.0	230.0	+38	O 234 +4.0
2024	ORtg: 98.2 DRtg: 136.3 Pace: 99.8			ORtg: 136.3 DRtg: 98.2 Pace: 99.8
01/23/25	Spurs	140	@	Pacers	110	+2.5	229.5	-30	O 250 +20.5
2024	ORtg: 137.5 DRtg: 108.0 Pace: 101.9			ORtg: 108.0 DRtg: 137.5 Pace: 101.9
01/19/25	Spurs	107	@	Heat	128	+3.0	219.0	+21	O 235 +16.0
2024	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 131.9 Pace: 97.0			ORtg: 131.9 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 97.0
01/17/25	Spurs	112	vs.	Grizzlies	140	-2.0	236.5	+28	O 252 +15.5
2024	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 141.8 Pace: 98.7			ORtg: 141.8 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 98.7
01/15/25	Spurs	115	vs.	Grizzlies	129	+2.5	240.0	+14	O 244 +4.0
2024	ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 102.6			ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 102.6
01/13/25	Spurs	126	@	Lakers	102	+4.5	221.5	-24	O 228 +6.5
2024	ORtg: 133.8 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 94.2			ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 133.8 Pace: 94.2
01/08/25	Spurs	105	@	Bucks	121	+4.5	226.0	+16	P 226 0.0
2024	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 122.7 Pace: 98.6			ORtg: 122.7 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 98.6
01/06/25	Spurs	110	@	Bulls	114	-3.0	236.0	+4	U 224 -12.0
2024	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 102.5			ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 102.5

Home Games Avg (5 games)		117.0	-	-	130.2	+2.0	233.0	+13.2 -11.2	O 247.2 +14.2
	ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 130.5 Pace: 99.8			ORtg: 130.5 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 99.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		117.3	-	-	122.6	+2.2	229.7	+5.3 -3.2	O 239.9 +10.2
	ORtg: 118.1 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 99.3			ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 118.1 Pace: 99.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Spurs are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Spurs are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Spurs are 70% (7-3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the under away

The Heat are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

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Spurs (Home)

The Spurs are 50% (23-23) against the spread

The Spurs are 46.2% (12-14) against the spread at home

The Spurs are 48.4% (15-16) against the spread as a dog

The Spurs are 43.8% (7-9) against the spread as a home dog

The Spurs are 56.8% (25-19-2) to the over

The Spurs are 53.8% (14-12) to the over at home

The Spurs are 55.2% (16-13-2) to the over as a dog

The Spurs are 56.3% (9-7) to the under as a home dog

The Spurs are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Spurs are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Spurs are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Spurs are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Spurs are 66.7% (8-4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Spurs are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Spurs are 70% (7-3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Spurs are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Heat (Away)

The Heat are 42.6% (20-27) against the spread

The Heat are 40% (10-15) against the spread away

The Heat are 42.9% (12-16) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 36.4% (4-7) against the spread as an away fav

The Heat are 55.3% (26-21) to the over

The Heat are 56% (14-11) to the under away

The Heat are 50% (14-14) to the over as a fav

The Heat are 63.6% (7-4) to the under as an away fav

The Heat are 31.3% (5-11) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Heat are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Heat are 56.3% (9-7) (L30 days) to the over

The Heat are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the under away

The Heat are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Heat are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/19/25	Spurs	107	@	Heat	128	+3.0	219.0	+21	O 235 +16.0
2024	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 131.9 Pace: 97.0			ORtg: 131.9 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 97.0
02/07/24	Spurs	104	@	Heat	116	+8.0	226.0	+12	U 220 -6.0
2023	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 102.5			ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 102.5
11/12/23	Spurs	113	vs.	Heat	118	+1.5	223.0	+5	O 231 +8.0
2023	ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 122.9 Pace: 96.0			ORtg: 122.9 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 96.0

Spurs as Home (1 games)		113.0	-	-	118.0	+1.5	223.0	+5.0 -3.5	O 231.0 +8.0
	ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 122.9 Pace: 96.0			ORtg: 122.9 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 96.0

All Games Avg (3 games)		108.0	-	-	120.7	+4.2	222.7	+12.7 -8.5	O 228.7 +6.0
	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 122.7 Pace: 98.5			ORtg: 122.7 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 98.5

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 105 – 103 Miami Heat @ San Antonio Spurs window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "Miami Heat", home_team: "San Antonio Spurs", game_date: null };

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Injury Report MIANo report SASNo report

Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Spurs

Situational Factor(s)

Filters

Schedules

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Spurs Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Spurs (Home)

Heat (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 105 – 103
Miami Heat @ San Antonio Spurs