NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 122 – 135
Miami Heat @ Denver Nuggets

Heat: 3-4 (42.9%) | Market Rating: +0.64

Nuggets: 5-3 (62.5%) | Market Rating: +3.38 | Home Court: +1.7 pts

Line: -3.0

Total: 222.0

Team totals: Heat 109.5 · Nuggets 112.5

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Notes

Heat

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Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/12/24 2024	Heat	-	@	Pistons	-	-1.5	214.0	-	-
11/10/24 2024	Heat	-	@	Timberwolves	-	+7.5	219.0	-	-
11/08/24 2024	Heat	-	@	Nuggets	-	+3.0	222.0	-	-
11/06/24	Heat	112	@	Suns	115	+5.0	222.5	+3	O 227 +4.5
2024	ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 95.6			ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 95.6
11/04/24	Heat	110	vs.	Kings	111	-1.0	224.5	+1	U 221 -3.5
2024	ORtg: 117.7 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 93.5			ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 117.7 Pace: 93.5
11/02/24	Heat	118	@	Wizards	98	-10.0	224.5	-20	U 216 -8.5
2024	ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 101.5			ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 101.5
10/30/24	Heat	107	vs.	Knicks	116	+1.5	214.5	+9	O 223 +8.5
2024	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 91.8			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 91.8
10/28/24	Heat	106	vs.	Pistons	98	-8.5	219.5	-8	U 204 -15.5
2024	ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 92.7			ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 92.7
10/26/24	Heat	114	@	Hornets	106	-6.0	223.0	-8	U 220 -3.0
2024	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 96.1			ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 96.1
10/23/24	Heat	97	vs.	Magic	116	-2.0	208.0	+19	O 213 +5.0
2024	ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 122.6 Pace: 94.6			ORtg: 122.6 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 94.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
05/01/24	Heat	84	@	Celtics	118	+13.0	201.5	+34	O 202 +0.5
2023	ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 94.0			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 94.0
04/29/24	Heat	88	vs.	Celtics	102	+10.5	203.5	+14	U 190 -13.5
2023	ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 111.0 Pace: 91.9			ORtg: 111.0 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 91.9
04/27/24	Heat	84	vs.	Celtics	104	+9.5	206.5	+20	U 188 -18.5
2023	ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 83.6

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		114.7	-	-	106.3	-3.7	223.3	-8.3 +4.7	U 221.0 -2.3
	ORtg: 117.3 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 97.7			ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 117.3 Pace: 97.7

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		109.1	-	-	108.6	-3.0	219.5	-0.6 -2.4	U 217.7 -1.8
	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 95.1			ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 95.1

Nuggets Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/15/24 2024	Nuggets	-	@	Pelicans	-	-2.0	217.5	-	-
11/10/24 2024	Nuggets	-	vs.	Mavericks	-	-2.5	233.0	-	-
11/08/24 2024	Nuggets	-	vs.	Heat	-	-3.0	222.0	-	-
11/06/24	Nuggets	124	vs.	Thunder	122	+7.0	224.5	-2	O 246 +21.5
2024	ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 107.7			ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 107.7
11/04/24	Nuggets	121	vs.	Raptors	119	-11.0	232.0	-2	O 240 +8.0
2024	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 116.7 Pace: 102.0			ORtg: 116.7 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 102.0
11/02/24	Nuggets	129	vs.	Jazz	103	-11.0	221.5	-26	O 232 +10.5
2024	ORtg: 125.0 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 103.2			ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 125.0 Pace: 103.2
11/01/24	Nuggets	116	@	Timberwolves	119	+4.0	218.0	+3	O 235 +17.0
2024	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 96.9			ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 96.9
10/29/24	Nuggets	144	@	Nets	139 OT	-5.5	218.5	-5	O 283 +64.5
2024	ORtg: 137.5 DRtg: 132.8 Pace: 94.8			ORtg: 132.8 DRtg: 137.5 Pace: 94.8
10/28/24	Nuggets	127	@	Raptors	125 OT	-8.5	224.0	-2	O 252 +28.0
2024	ORtg: 115.5 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 99.6			ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 115.5 Pace: 99.6
10/26/24	Nuggets	104	vs.	Clippers	109	-7.5	217.0	+5	U 213 -4.0
2024	ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 93.5			ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 93.5
10/24/24	Nuggets	87	vs.	Thunder	102	-2.0	227.5	+15	U 189 -38.5
2024	ORtg: 87.2 DRtg: 102.2 Pace: 99.8			ORtg: 102.2 DRtg: 87.2 Pace: 99.8
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
05/19/24	Nuggets	90	vs.	Timberwolves	98	-4.5	199.0	+8	U 188 -11.0
2023	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 86.1			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 86.1
05/16/24	Nuggets	70	@	Timberwolves	115	+2.5	204.5	+45	U 185 -19.5
2023	ORtg: 76.8 DRtg: 126.1 Pace: 91.2			ORtg: 126.1 DRtg: 76.8 Pace: 91.2

Home Games Avg (5 games this season)		113.0	-	-	111.0	-4.9	224.5	-2.0 -2.9	U 224.0 -0.5
	ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 101.2			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 101.2

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		119.0	-	-	117.3	-4.3	222.9	-1.8 -2.6	O 236.3 +13.4
	ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 99.7			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 99.7

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Notable Trends

The Nuggets are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 77.8% (7-2) to the over

The Nuggets are 71.4% (5-2) to the over as a fav

The Nuggets are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Nuggets are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Heat are 75% (3-1) against the spread away

The Heat are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

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Nuggets (Home)

The Nuggets are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread

The Nuggets are 50% (3-3) against the spread at home

The Nuggets are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Nuggets are 77.8% (7-2) to the over

The Nuggets are 66.7% (4-2) to the over at home

The Nuggets are 71.4% (5-2) to the over as a fav

The Nuggets are 60% (3-2) to the over as a home fav

The Nuggets are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nuggets are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Nuggets are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Nuggets are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Nuggets are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Nuggets are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Nuggets are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Heat (Away)

The Heat are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread

The Heat are 75% (3-1) against the spread away

The Heat are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a dog

The Heat are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Heat are 50% (4-4) to the over

The Heat are 50% (2-2) to the over away

The Heat are 100% (3-0) to the over as a dog

The Heat are 100% (2-0) to the over as an away dog

The Heat are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread