NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 111 – 110
Sacramento Kings @ Miami Heat

Kings: 3-3 (50.0%) | Market Rating: +2.64

Heat: 3-2 (60.0%) | Market Rating: +0.75 | Home Court: +2.0 pts

Line: -1.0

Total: 224.5

Team totals: Kings 112.5 · Heat 113.5

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Notes

Kings

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

Coming off an Overtime game

Travel fatigue (at least 4th straight game on the road)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Heat

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Kings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/08/24 2024	Kings	-	vs.	Clippers	-	-6.0	224.0	-	-
11/06/24 2024	Kings	-	vs.	Raptors	-	-11.5	237.5	-	-
11/04/24 2024	Kings	-	@	Heat	-	+1.0	224.5	-	-
11/02/24	Kings	128	@	Raptors	131 OT	-9.5	236.0	+3	O 259 +23.0
2024	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 102.3			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 102.3
11/01/24	Kings	123	@	Hawks	115	-6.0	237.0	-8	O 238 +1.0
2024	ORtg: 119.1 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 103.3			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 119.1 Pace: 103.3
10/29/24	Kings	113	@	Jazz	96	-6.5	234.5	-17	U 209 -25.5
2024	ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 98.0			ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 98.0
10/28/24	Kings	111	vs.	Trail Blazers	98	-12.5	231.0	-13	U 209 -22.0
2024	ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 101.7 Pace: 96.4			ORtg: 101.7 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 96.4
10/26/24	Kings	127	@	Lakers	131	+1.0	230.5	+4	O 258 +27.5
2024	ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 124.1 Pace: 105.5			ORtg: 124.1 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 105.5
10/24/24	Kings	115	vs.	Timberwolves	117	+1.0	222.0	+2	O 232 +10.0
2024	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 100.9			ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 100.9
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
04/19/24	Kings	98	@	Pelicans	105	+1.0	211.5	+7	U 203 -8.5
2023	ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 93.9			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 93.9
04/16/24	Kings	118	vs.	Warriors	94	+3.0	222.5	-24	U 212 -10.5
2023	ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 94.8			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 94.8
04/14/24	Kings	121	vs.	Trail Blazers	82	-17.5	214.0	-39	U 203 -11.0
2023	ORtg: 125.6 DRtg: 85.1 Pace: 96.3			ORtg: 85.1 DRtg: 125.6 Pace: 96.3
04/12/24	Kings	107	vs.	Suns	108	+5.0	225.5	+1	U 215 -10.5
2023	ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 93.0			ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 93.0

Away Games Avg (4 games this season)		122.8	-	-	118.3	-5.3	234.5	-4.5 -0.8	O 241.0 +6.5
	ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 102.3			ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 102.3

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		119.5	-	-	114.7	-5.4	231.8	-4.8 -0.6	O 234.2 +2.3
	ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 111.2 Pace: 101.1			ORtg: 111.2 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 101.1

Heat Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/08/24 2024	Heat	-	@	Nuggets	-	+3.0	222.0	-	-
11/06/24 2024	Heat	-	@	Suns	-	+5.0	222.5	-	-
11/04/24 2024	Heat	-	vs.	Kings	-	-1.0	224.5	-	-
11/02/24	Heat	118	@	Wizards	98	-10.0	224.5	-20	U 216 -8.5
2024	ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 101.5			ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 101.5
10/30/24	Heat	107	vs.	Knicks	116	+1.5	214.5	+9	O 223 +8.5
2024	ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 91.8			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 91.8
10/28/24	Heat	106	vs.	Pistons	98	-8.5	219.5	-8	U 204 -15.5
2024	ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 92.7			ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 92.7
10/26/24	Heat	114	@	Hornets	106	-6.0	223.0	-8	U 220 -3.0
2024	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 96.1			ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 96.1
10/23/24	Heat	97	vs.	Magic	116	-2.0	208.0	+19	O 213 +5.0
2024	ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 122.6 Pace: 94.6			ORtg: 122.6 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 94.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
05/01/24	Heat	84	@	Celtics	118	+13.0	201.5	+34	O 202 +0.5
2023	ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 94.0			ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 94.0
04/29/24	Heat	88	vs.	Celtics	102	+10.5	203.5	+14	U 190 -13.5
2023	ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 111.0 Pace: 91.9			ORtg: 111.0 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 91.9
04/27/24	Heat	84	vs.	Celtics	104	+9.5	206.5	+20	U 188 -18.5
2023	ORtg: 100.5 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 83.6			ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 100.5 Pace: 83.6
04/24/24	Heat	111	@	Celtics	101	+13.5	206.0	-10	O 212 +6.0
2023	ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 91.8			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 91.8
04/21/24	Heat	94	@	Celtics	114	+14.5	210.0	+20	U 208 -2.0
2023	ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 131.7 Pace: 86.6			ORtg: 131.7 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 86.6

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		103.3	-	-	110.0	-3.0	214.0	+6.7 -9.7	U 213.3 -0.7
	ORtg: 111.1 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 93.1			ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 111.1 Pace: 93.1

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		108.4	-	-	106.8	-5.0	217.9	-1.6 -3.4	U 215.2 -2.7
	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 95.4			ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 95.4

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Heat are 0% (0-4) against the spread at home

The Heat are 80% (4-1) to the under as a fav

The Heat are 0% (0-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Heat are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

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Heat (Home)

The Heat are 33.3% (2-4) against the spread

The Heat are 0% (0-4) against the spread at home

The Heat are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 0% (0-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Heat are 66.7% (4-2) to the under

The Heat are 50% (2-2) to the over at home

The Heat are 80% (4-1) to the under as a fav

The Heat are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a home fav

The Heat are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 0% (0-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Heat are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Heat are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Heat are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Heat are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Heat are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Kings (Away)

The Kings are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread

The Kings are 60% (3-2) against the spread away

The Kings are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a dog

The Kings are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Kings are 57.1% (4-3) to the over

The Kings are 60% (3-2) to the over away

The Kings are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as a dog

The Kings are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away dog

The Kings are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Kings are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Kings are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Kings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Kings are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Kings are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Kings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Kings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/24	Heat	121	@	Kings	110	+7.0	224.0	-11	O 231 +7.0
2023	ORtg: 127.5 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 94.9			ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 127.5 Pace: 94.9
01/31/24	Heat	115	vs.	Kings	106	-1.5	230.0	-9	U 221 -9.0
2023	ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 95.0			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 95.0

Heat as Home (1 games)		115.0	-	-	106.0	-1.5	230.0	-9.0 +7.5	U 221.0 -9.0
	ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 95.0			ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 95.0

All Games Avg (2 games)		118.0	-	-	108.0	+2.8	227.0	-10.0 +12.8	U 226.0 -1.0
	ORtg: 124.3 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 94.9			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 124.3 Pace: 94.9