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Updated: 11/11/26 7:47 a.m. ET
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NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 110 – 106
Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat
Celtics: 40-12 (76.9%) | Market Rating: +7.21
Heat: 28-24 (53.8%) | Market Rating: +0.56 | Home Court: +2.2 pts
Line: +5.5
Total: 226.0
Team totals: Celtics 116.5 · Heat 108.5
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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.
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Schedules
Celtics Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
02/14/24
2023
 Celtics - vs. Nets - -13.0 227.0 - -
02/13/24
2023
 Celtics - @ Nets - -8.5 228.0 - -
02/11/24
2023
 Celtics - @ Heat - -5.5 226.0 - -
02/09/24 Celtics 133 vs. Wizards 129 -18.0 236.0 -4 O 262 +26.0
2023
ORtg: 123.3 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 107.9ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 123.3 Pace: 107.9
02/07/24 Celtics 125 vs. Hawks 117 -12.0 244.5 -8 U 242 -2.5
2023
ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 103.9ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 103.9
02/04/24 Celtics 131 vs. Grizzlies 91 -18.0 219.0 -40 O 222 +3.0
2023
ORtg: 133.8 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 97.9ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 133.8 Pace: 97.9
02/01/24 Celtics 105 vs. Lakers 114 -15.0 238.5 +9 U 219 -19.5
2023
ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 117.9 Pace: 96.7ORtg: 117.9 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 96.7
01/30/24 Celtics 129 vs. Pacers 124 -8.0 249.0 -5 O 253 +4.0
2023
ORtg: 131.5 DRtg: 126.4 Pace: 98.1ORtg: 126.4 DRtg: 131.5 Pace: 98.1
01/29/24 Celtics 118 vs. Pelicans 112 -8.0 234.0 -6 U 230 -4.0
2023
ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 115.0 Pace: 97.4ORtg: 115.0 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 97.4
01/27/24 Celtics 96 vs. Clippers 115 -7.0 232.0 +19 U 211 -21.0
2023
ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 118.1 Pace: 97.4ORtg: 118.1 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 97.4
01/25/24 Celtics 143 @ Heat 110 -8.0 224.0 -33 O 253 +29.0
2023
ORtg: 156.1 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 91.6ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 156.1 Pace: 91.6
01/22/24 Celtics 119 @ Mavericks 110 -2.5 240.0 -9 U 229 -11.0
2023
ORtg: 118.4 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 100.5ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 118.4 Pace: 100.5
01/21/24 Celtics 116 @ Rockets 107 -12.0 226.5 -9 U 223 -3.5
2023
ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 102.2 Pace: 104.7ORtg: 102.2 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 104.7
Away Games Avg
(3 games)		 126.0 - - 109.0 -7.5 230.2 -17.0 +9.5 O 235.0 +4.8
ORtg: 128.4 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 98.9ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 128.4 Pace: 98.9
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 121.5 - - 112.9 -10.9 234.4 -8.6 -2.3 O 234.4 +0.1
ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 99.6ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 99.6
Heat Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
02/14/24
2023
 Heat - @ 76ers - +4.5 223.5 - -
02/13/24
2023
 Heat - @ Bucks - +8.5 222.5 - -
02/11/24
2023
 Heat - vs. Celtics - +5.5 226.0 - -
02/07/24 Heat 116 vs. Spurs 104 -8.0 226.0 -12 U 220 -6.0
2023
ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 102.5ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 102.5
02/06/24 Heat 121 vs. Magic 95 -3.0 213.5 -26 O 216 +2.5
2023
ORtg: 125.2 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 96.6ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 125.2 Pace: 96.6
02/04/24 Heat 95 vs. Clippers 103 +4.0 224.5 +8 U 198 -26.5
2023
ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 91.7ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 91.7
02/02/24 Heat 110 @ Wizards 102 -8.5 227.5 -8 U 212 -15.5
2023
ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 99.5ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 99.5
01/31/24 Heat 115 vs. Kings 106 -1.5 230.0 -9 U 221 -9.0
2023
ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 95.0ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 95.0
01/29/24 Heat 105 vs. Suns 118 -3.5 229.5 +13 U 223 -6.5
2023
ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 96.0ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 96.0
01/27/24 Heat 109 @ Knicks 125 +4.5 218.0 +16 O 234 +16.0
2023
ORtg: 117.6 DRtg: 134.9 Pace: 92.7ORtg: 134.9 DRtg: 117.6 Pace: 92.7
01/25/24 Heat 110 vs. Celtics 143 +8.0 224.0 +33 O 253 +29.0
2023
ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 156.1 Pace: 91.6ORtg: 156.1 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 91.6
01/24/24 Heat 96 vs. Grizzlies 105 -9.5 212.5 +9 U 201 -11.5
2023
ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 97.2ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 97.2
01/21/24 Heat 87 @ Magic 105 -1.0 215.0 +18 U 192 -23.0
2023
ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 119.9 Pace: 87.6ORtg: 119.9 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 87.6
Home Games Avg
(7 games)		 108.3 - - 110.6 -1.9 222.9 +2.3 -4.2 U 218.9 -4.0
ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 95.8ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 95.8
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 106.4 - - 110.6 -1.9 222.1 +4.2 -6.1 U 217.0 -5.1
ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 95.0ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 95.0
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Records
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Notable Trends
The Heat are 14.3% (1-6) against the spread as a home dog
The Heat are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog
The Heat are 81.3% (13-3) (L30 days) to the under
The Heat are 81.8% (9-2) (L30 days) to the under at home
The Celtics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under away
The Celtics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav
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Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Team Pts Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/25/24 Heat 110 vs. Celtics 143 +8.0 224.0 +33 O 253 +29.0
2023
ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 156.1 Pace: 91.6ORtg: 156.1 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 91.6
10/27/23 Heat 111 @ Celtics 119 +8.5 217.5 +8 O 230 +12.5
2023
ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 99.3ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 99.3
05/29/23 Heat 103 @ Celtics 84 +7.0 204.0 -19 U 187 -17.0
2022
ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 90.9ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 90.9
05/27/23 Heat 103 vs. Celtics 104 +2.0 209.0 +1 U 207 -2.0
2022
ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 89.4ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 89.4
05/25/23 Heat 97 @ Celtics 110 +8.5 215.0 +13 U 207 -8.0
2022
ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 130.3 Pace: 84.4ORtg: 130.3 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 84.4
05/23/23 Heat 99 vs. Celtics 116 -1.5 216.0 +17 U 215 -1.0
2022
ORtg: 106.6 DRtg: 124.9 Pace: 92.8ORtg: 124.9 DRtg: 106.6 Pace: 92.8
05/21/23 Heat 128 vs. Celtics 102 +4.5 214.5 -26 O 230 +15.5
2022
ORtg: 131.9 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 97.0ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 131.9 Pace: 97.0
05/19/23 Heat 111 @ Celtics 105 +10.0 216.0 -6 P 216 0.0
2022
ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 96.4ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 96.4
05/17/23 Heat 123 @ Celtics 116 +8.5 212.5 -7 O 239 +26.5
2022
ORtg: 127.5 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 96.5ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 127.5 Pace: 96.5
01/24/23 Heat 98 vs. Celtics 95 -2.5 214.5 -3 U 193 -21.5
2022
ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 95.3ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 95.3
Heat as Home
(5 games)		 107.6 - - 112.0 +2.1 215.6 +4.4 -2.3 O 219.6 +4.0
ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 120.4 Pace: 93.2ORtg: 120.4 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 93.2
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 108.3 - - 109.4 +5.3 214.3 +1.1 +4.2 O 217.7 +3.4
ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 117.4 Pace: 93.4ORtg: 117.4 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 93.4

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