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Updated: 11/10/26 9:07 a.m. ET
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NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 122 – 129
Dallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat
Mavericks: 37-40 (48.1%) | Market Rating: +2.19
Heat: 40-37 (51.9%) | Market Rating: +1.56 | Home Court: +3.2 pts
Line: +2.5
Total: 224.5
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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.
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Schedules
Mavericks Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
04/05/23
2022
 Mavericks - vs. Kings - -5.5 242.5 - -
04/02/23
2022
 Mavericks - @ Hawks - +3.0 246.0 - -
04/01/23
2022
 Mavericks - @ Heat - -2.5 224.5 - -
03/29/23 Mavericks 108 @ 76ers 116 +4.0 231.5 +8 U 224 -7.5
2022
ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 124.9 Pace: 92.9ORtg: 124.9 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 92.9
03/27/23 Mavericks 127 @ Pacers 104 -8.0 238.0 -23 U 231 -7.0
2022
ORtg: 129.9 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 97.8ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 129.9 Pace: 97.8
03/26/23 Mavericks 104 @ Hornets 110 -12.0 232.0 +6 U 214 -18.0
2022
ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 96.8ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 96.8
03/24/23 Mavericks 109 vs. Hornets 117 -16.0 229.0 +8 U 226 -3.0
2022
ORtg: 109.9 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 99.2ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 109.9 Pace: 99.2
03/22/23 Mavericks 125 vs. Warriors 127 +3.5 235.5 +2 O 252 +16.5
2022
ORtg: 126.8 DRtg: 128.8 Pace: 98.6ORtg: 128.8 DRtg: 126.8 Pace: 98.6
03/20/23 Mavericks 108 @ Grizzlies 112 +4.5 227.0 +4 U 220 -7.0
2022
ORtg: 116.1 DRtg: 120.4 Pace: 93.0ORtg: 120.4 DRtg: 116.1 Pace: 93.0
03/17/23 Mavericks 111 @ Lakers 110 +3.5 228.5 -1 U 221 -7.5
2022
ORtg: 118.1 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 94.0ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 118.1 Pace: 94.0
03/15/23 Mavericks 137 @ Spurs 128 OT -4.0 226.0 -9 O 265 +39.0
2022
ORtg: 125.0 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 99.2ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 125.0 Pace: 99.2
03/13/23 Mavericks 88 vs. Grizzlies 104 +1.0 224.5 +16 U 192 -32.5
2022
ORtg: 90.5 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 97.3ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 90.5 Pace: 97.3
03/11/23 Mavericks 108 @ Grizzlies 112 +8.5 222.0 +4 U 220 -2.0
2022
ORtg: 114.5 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 94.3ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 114.5 Pace: 94.3
Away Games Avg
(7 games)		 114.7 - - 113.1 -0.5 229.3 -1.6 +1.1 U 227.9 -1.4
ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 116.9 Pace: 95.4ORtg: 116.9 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 95.4
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 112.5 - - 114.0 -1.5 229.4 +1.5 -3.0 U 226.5 -2.9
ORtg: 115.5 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 96.3ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 115.5 Pace: 96.3
Heat Schedule
Date Team Points Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
04/06/23
2022
 Heat - @ 76ers - +2.5 219.5 - -
04/04/23
2022
 Heat - @ Pistons - -14.0 216.5 - -
04/01/23
2022
 Heat - vs. Mavericks - +2.5 224.5 - -
03/29/23 Heat 92 @ Knicks 101 +5.0 223.0 +9 U 193 -30.0
2022
ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 90.4ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 90.4
03/28/23 Heat 92 @ Raptors 106 +6.0 218.5 +14 U 198 -20.5
2022
ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 89.2ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 89.2
03/25/23 Heat 100 vs. Nets 129 -5.5 221.0 +29 O 229 +8.0
2022
ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 146.1 Pace: 88.3ORtg: 146.1 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 88.3
03/22/23 Heat 127 vs. Knicks 120 -2.5 224.0 -7 O 247 +23.0
2022
ORtg: 129.8 DRtg: 122.7 Pace: 97.8ORtg: 122.7 DRtg: 129.8 Pace: 97.8
03/19/23 Heat 112 @ Pistons 100 -10.0 218.0 -12 U 212 -6.0
2022
ORtg: 123.3 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 90.9ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 123.3 Pace: 90.9
03/18/23 Heat 99 @ Bulls 113 -3.0 216.5 +14 U 212 -4.5
2022
ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 126.6 Pace: 89.3ORtg: 126.6 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 89.3
03/15/23 Heat 138 vs. Grizzlies 119 -4.0 221.0 -19 O 257 +36.0
2022
ORtg: 138.1 DRtg: 119.1 Pace: 99.9ORtg: 119.1 DRtg: 138.1 Pace: 99.9
03/13/23 Heat 119 vs. Jazz 115 -7.5 226.0 -4 O 234 +8.0
2022
ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 96.7ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 96.7
03/11/23 Heat 114 @ Magic 126 OT -2.5 222.0 +12 O 240 +18.0
2022
ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 99.8ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 99.8
03/10/23 Heat 119 vs. Cavaliers 115 -3.0 212.0 -4 O 234 +22.0
2022
ORtg: 124.8 DRtg: 120.6 Pace: 95.4ORtg: 120.6 DRtg: 124.8 Pace: 95.4
Home Games Avg
(5 games)		 120.6 - - 119.6 -4.5 220.8 -1.0 -3.5 O 240.2 +19.4
ORtg: 125.8 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 95.6ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 125.8 Pace: 95.6
All Games Avg
(10 games)		 111.2 - - 114.4 -2.7 220.2 +3.2 -5.9 O 225.6 +5.4
ORtg: 117.1 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 93.8ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 117.1 Pace: 93.8
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Records
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Notable Trends
The Heat are 75% (3-1) to the under as a home dog
The Heat are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog
The Heat are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) to the over at home
The Heat are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a dog
The Mavericks are 27.8% (5-13) against the spread as an away fav
The Mavericks are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the under away
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Team Pts Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/20/23 Heat 90 @ Mavericks 115 -1.5 218.0 +25 U 205 -13.0
2022
ORtg: 99.7 DRtg: 127.4 Pace: 90.3ORtg: 127.4 DRtg: 99.7 Pace: 90.3
02/15/22 Heat 99 vs. Mavericks 107 -5.5 210.5 +8 U 206 -4.5
2021
ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 123.1 Pace: 86.9ORtg: 123.1 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 86.9
11/02/21 Heat 125 @ Mavericks 110 -2.5 210.0 -15 O 235 +25.0
2021
ORtg: 133.9 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 93.4ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 133.9 Pace: 93.4
Heat as Home
(1 games)		 99.0 - - 107.0 -5.5 210.5 +8.0 -13.5 U 206.0 -4.5
ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 123.1 Pace: 86.9ORtg: 123.1 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 86.9
All Games Avg
(3 games)		 104.7 - - 110.7 -3.2 212.8 +6.0 -9.2 O 215.3 +2.5
ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 122.8 Pace: 90.2ORtg: 122.8 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 90.2

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